Match Analysis: Fernando Daniel Martinez vs Kazuto Ioka – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-11
• Time: 6:00 AM UTC
• Location: Ota City General Gymnasium, Tokyo, Japan

Game Overview

The highly anticipated rematch between Fernando Daniel Martinez and Kazuto Ioka for the WBA Super Flyweight title. Martinez is favored as the home fighter, with odds reflecting his dominance in their previous encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

• Martinez has shown strong form recently, while Ioka seeks redemption after their previous bout.
• The head-to-head record between them is significant, with Martinez aiming to maintain his winning streak against Ioka.
• There is no reported injury affecting either fighter's performance.
• The match is in Tokyo, which could provide a home advantage for Ioka despite Martinez being the favored fighter.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Martinez seeking to solidify his title and Ioka looking for a comeback victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-400 (Martinez), 300 (Ioka)	Martinez to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5: -550, Under 10.5: 375	Over 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fernando Daniel Martinez -97%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Martinez is predicted to win due to his recent performance and past success against Ioka.

Predicted Score: Martinez wins via unanimous decision or late-round KO.