Match Analysis: Simon Biyong vs Kasim Aras – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 12:00 PM UTC
• Location: Lanxess Arena, Cologne

Game Overview

This heavyweight fight at OKTAGON 78 features Kasim Aras vs. Simon Biyong. Kasim Aras is a German MMA fighter known for his aggressive style, while Simon Biyong is also a highly skilled fighter. The event promises an electrifying atmosphere with top European talent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kasim Aras holds a record of 10-5-0, while Simon Biyong has a record of 11-5-0. Both fighters have shown strong performances in their careers.
• There is no available head-to-head data between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight's location in Cologne might favor Kasim Aras due to local support, but Simon Biyong's experience could mitigate this.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Kasim Aras aiming to assert his dominance in the heavyweight division and Simon Biyong seeking to prove himself against a strong opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kasim Aras: 110, Simon Biyong: -150	Simon Biyong	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Simon Biyong -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Simon Biyong at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Simon Biyong is favored to win based on his slightly better record and odds.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Simon Biyong

Match Analysis: Adam Palasz vs Kasim Aras – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Barclays Arena, Hamburg, Germany

Game Overview

This heavyweight bout between Adam Palasz and Kasim Aras is scheduled for OKTAGON 73 at Barclays Arena in Hamburg. Both fighters bring solid records and experience to the cage, with Palasz favored slightly on the moneyline. The fight is expected to be a 3-round contest in the heavyweight division. The matchup is critical for Palasz to maintain his high standing in the promotion, while Aras looks to upset the odds and climb the ranks.

Key Factors to Consider

• Adam Palasz trains with the WCA Fight Team in Poland and has been active since age 19, showing consistent improvement. Kasim Aras also has a credible record, with a balanced win-loss ratio. Both fighters have demonstrated resilience in previous performances, but Palasz has a slight edge due to recent form and experience in the promotion.
• There is no publicly available data indicating previous encounters between Adam Palasz and Kasim Aras, making this their first meeting in a professional MMA contest.
• No reported recent injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both athletes are at full health.
• The fight takes place at a major event, OKTAGON 73, under a high-profile card in Hamburg, Germany. Both fighters are competing in a sizable arena with a motivated crowd, which could influence adrenaline and performance. Travel and acclimatization appear manageable with no known complications.
• Palasz aims to consolidate his position in the heavyweight rankings, motivated by maintaining his status and progressing in OKTAGON MMA. Aras carries the underdog motivation to upset the favored Palasz, which can fuel a high-intensity performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adam Palasz: -175, Kasim Aras: 135	Adam Palasz	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Adam Palasz: -1.5, Kasim Aras: +1.5	Adam Palasz to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adam Palasz -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adam Palasz at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Palasz is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to his experience, well-rounded skills, and slight edge in recent performance. Kasim Aras will push hard early, but Palasz's tactical approach and resilience should prevail.

Predicted Score: Adam Palasz wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds