Match Analysis: Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Karol Rosa, a 30-year-old with a record of 18-7-0, faces Nora Cornolle, 35 years old with a 9-2-0 record, in the UFC Apex. Both fighters compete in the bantamweight division with nearly identical reach and stance, making this a close stylistic match.

Key Factors to Consider

• Karol Rosa has a higher output of significant strikes landed per minute (6.22) compared to Cornolle (3.07), but absorbs more strikes per minute (4.84 vs. 1.91). Rosa connects on 55% strike accuracy while Cornolle is nearly as accurate at 54%. Cornolle has a stronger defensive percentage, blocking 62% of opponent strikes compared to Rosa's 49%.
• No direct head-to-head matchups available, but stylistic metrics indicate Rosa is the aggressor with higher volume striking, while Cornolle relies more on defensive counters.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue without home advantage for either fighter. Both fighters are experienced and will likely have full training camps.
• Karol Rosa aims to maintain momentum and extend a significant winning streak, adding to a larger fight total. Nora Cornolle, the underdog, is motivated to prove herself against a top-ranked opponent and improve her professional record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Karol Rosa: -185, Nora Cornolle: +154	Karol Rosa	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Karol Rosa -3.5: 1.40, Nora Cornolle +3.5: 1.95	Nora Cornolle +3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -560, Under 2.5 rounds: +370	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Karol Rosa 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 206%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 206% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Karol Rosa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Karol Rosa wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Karol Rosa vs Jakub Batfalsky – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Fortuna Arena, Prague

Game Overview

Karol Ryšavý and Jakub Batfalsky face off in the Featherweight division at OKTAGON 72, with Ryšavý potentially having home advantage but Batfalsky looking to upset.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have shown mixed results in recent bouts, with Ryšavý needing a win to build momentum and Batfalsky looking for a solid performance.
• No prior head-to-head matchups between Ryšavý and Batfalsky are noted, adding unpredictability.
• No significant injuries are reported for either fighter at this time.
• The crowd and home advantage may slightly favor Ryšavý, but both fighters are experienced.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, with Ryšavý possibly seeking redemption and Batfalsky looking for a breakthrough.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Batfalsky: 115, Ryšavý: -145	Ryšavý	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Karol Rosa 29%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Karol Rosa at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryšavý might have a slight edge due to home advantage and recent form, but Batfalsky is a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: Decision