Match Analysis: Asiashu Tshitamba vs Karim Henniene – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: GrandWest Arena, Cape Town, South Africa

Game Overview

Asiashu Tshitamba faces Karim Henniene in a bantamweight MMA bout at PFL Africa 1, featuring a clash between Tshitamba's height and reach advantages and Henniene's experience and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

• Karim Henniene has shown solid recent form with decisive finishes and a strong fighting background in Canadian MMA circuits. Tshitamba is tall for the weight class with a potential reach advantage, though less information is available on his recent performances.
• No documented previous head-to-head between Tshitamba and Henniene, making this a fresh matchup with limited direct comparative data.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
• Fighting in Cape Town at the GrandWest Arena may afford Tshitamba slight home-region comfort, but Henniene's recent interaction with Dana White and experience fighting in important events may boost his confidence and motivation.
• Henniene appears motivated following engagement with Dana White and the UFC spotlight, seeking to build momentum. Tshitamba is likely motivated to make a statement in PFL Africa 1 on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Asiashu Tshitamba: +270, Karim Henniene: -345	Karim Henniene	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Henniene -1.5 rounds: -150, Tshitamba +1.5 rounds: +130	Henniene -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Karim Henniene -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Karim Henniene at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Karim Henniene to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Karim Henniene wins by submission or TKO in round 2