Match Analysis: Boule Godogo vs Karim Henniene – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kigali, Rwanda

Game Overview

This PFL Africa bantamweight semifinal features Boule Godogo versus Karim Henniene. Henniene is the slight favorite on the moneyline, reflecting his stronger recent form and experience, while Godogo offers value as a live underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Karim Henniene has displayed consistent winning form in PFL Africa events recently, showing strong striking and grappling control. Boule Godogo has had mixed results, with less consistency but notable power and finishing ability.
• No direct prior matchup between Boule Godogo and Karim Henniene, making this a tactically open contest where styles and current form weigh heavily.
• No significant reported injuries affecting either fighter, both appear healthy and ready.
• Fighting at a neutral venue in Kigali likely neutralizes home advantage. Both fighters appear well acclimated to conditions.
• This fight is a semifinal in a high-stakes tournament, providing strong motivation for both to perform at peak levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Boule Godogo +160, Karim Henniene -185	Karim Henniene	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	No standard MMA spread available; estimate -1.5 rounds for Henniene around -130	Karim Henniene -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -170, Under 2.5 rounds +149	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Karim Henniene -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 49%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Karim Henniene to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Karim Henniene wins by decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Asiashu Tshitamba vs Karim Henniene – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: GrandWest Arena, Cape Town, South Africa

Game Overview

Asiashu Tshitamba faces Karim Henniene in a bantamweight MMA bout at PFL Africa 1, featuring a clash between Tshitamba's height and reach advantages and Henniene's experience and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

• Karim Henniene has shown solid recent form with decisive finishes and a strong fighting background in Canadian MMA circuits. Tshitamba is tall for the weight class with a potential reach advantage, though less information is available on his recent performances.
• No documented previous head-to-head between Tshitamba and Henniene, making this a fresh matchup with limited direct comparative data.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
• Fighting in Cape Town at the GrandWest Arena may afford Tshitamba slight home-region comfort, but Henniene's recent interaction with Dana White and experience fighting in important events may boost his confidence and motivation.
• Henniene appears motivated following engagement with Dana White and the UFC spotlight, seeking to build momentum. Tshitamba is likely motivated to make a statement in PFL Africa 1 on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Asiashu Tshitamba: +270, Karim Henniene: -345	Karim Henniene	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Henniene -1.5 rounds: -150, Tshitamba +1.5 rounds: +130	Henniene -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Karim Henniene -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Karim Henniene at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Karim Henniene to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Karim Henniene wins by submission or TKO in round 2