Match Analysis: Kamil Oniszczuk vs David Zawada – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 10:00 AM UTC
- Location: OKTAGON MMA event (venue not explicitly stated)
Game Overview
This Middleweight division bout between Kamil Oniszczuk and David Zawada is the main card fight at OKTAGON MMA on August 9, 2025. Oniszczuk is known for his striking ability, while Zawada has an edge in grappling and experience in major promotions. The bout has a strong competitive angle with both fighters having solid records and contrasting strengths.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kamil Oniszczuk has demonstrated strong striking skills and recent performances favor him in betting odds. David Zawada is a seasoned fighter with grappling expertise and significant experience in leading MMA promotions, indicating durability and strategy depth.
- There is no confirmed prior head-to-head matchup data available explicitly. Both fighters come from different backgrounds with contrasting fight styles, which makes the bout stylistically intriguing.
- No publicly reported injuries or fitness issues were indicated for either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight is held under OKTAGON MMA, a well-regarded European promotion with a strong fan base. No obvious external factors such as location bias or environmental concerns have been noted.
- Both fighters have high motivation to prove themselves — Oniszczuk to solidify his standing via striking dominance, and Zawada to leverage experience and grappling to pull off an upset on major promotional ground.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -170, away: 130 | Kamil Oniszczuk | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | oniszczuk_spread: -1.5 | Oniszczuk to cover the -1.5 rounds/points spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_2.5_rounds: 1.9, under_2.5_rounds: 1.9 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kamil Oniszczuk 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Kamil Oniszczuk at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kamil Oniszczuk to win by decision or technical knockout, leveraging superior striking, but a cautious approach is warranted given Zawada's grappling skills.
Predicted Score: Oniszczuk wins by unanimous decision or TKO within 3 to 4 rounds