Match Analysis: Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: June 14, 2025
- Time: 4:45 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Game Overview
The highly anticipated fight between Kamaru Usman and Joaquin Buckley is set to take place at UFC Fight Night on June 14. Usman, the former welterweight champion, seeks to rebound from recent losses, while Buckley aims to extend his winning streak in the welterweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kamaru Usman has faced setbacks with consecutive losses, whereas Joaquin Buckley has shown impressive form with a six-fight win streak in his new weight class.
- This is their first encounter, making it challenging to draw direct conclusions.
- No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter.
- The event at State Farm Arena will have a lively atmosphere, but both fighters are experienced in handling pressure.
- Usman's motivation to regain his former glory could be a significant factor, while Buckley is driven to continue his winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joaquin Buckley -285, Kamaru Usman 230 | Joaquin Buckley | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Joaquin Buckley -5.5 -140, Kamaru Usman 5.5 100 | Joaquin Buckley | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 4.5 100, Under 4.5 -130 | Under 4.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kamaru Usman -26% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 4.5 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Joaquin Buckley is favored to win the fight due to his recent form and Usman's struggles.
Predicted Score: This is not applicable for MMA fights, as the outcome is typically determined by knockout, submission, or decision.