Match Analysis: Marcirley Alves da Silva vs Justin Wetzell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States

Game Overview

The upcoming PFL Bantamweight division match features Marcirley Alves da Silva versus Justin Wetzell. Alves, a Brazilian fighter known for his grappling and pace, faces Wetzell, a taller American opponent with a reach advantage. This fight is highly significant as it is part of the 2025 PFL Bantamweight Tournament title contention, making it a key bout on the main card.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marcirley Alves has demonstrated strong performances with a grappling-heavy style and high activity rate in recent fights. Justin Wetzell exhibits greater height and reach (175 cm vs. 163 cm), which could translate to striking advantages but may face challenges in close-range grappling. Both fighters have shown resilience, with Alves earning unanimous decisions recently, indicating strong conditioning and technical grappling control.
• No direct previous fight records are available between Alves and Wetzell, making this their first competitive encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout, suggesting both are in optimal condition.
• The bout is taking place at Bojangles Coliseum, a neutral venue for Alves (Brazil) and Wetzell (USA). The stakes are high with the PFL Bantamweight Tournament title on the line, likely increasing performance intensity. Weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact either fighter adversely.
• Alves aims to secure the PFL Bantamweight Tournament title, providing strong motivation after his recent competitive success. Wetzell, as an underdog with positive odds, is likely motivated to leverage his striking and reach to upset the favorite, making mental preparedness a key factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Marcirley Alves da Silva: -225, Justin Wetzell: 172	Marcirley Alves da Silva	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Marcirley Alves da Silva: -1.5 rounds, Justin Wetzell: +1.5 rounds	Marcirley Alves da Silva -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 1.75, under: 2.05	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Marcirley Alves da Silva -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marcirley Alves da Silva at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcirley Alves da Silva is favored to win due to his superior grappling, octagon control, and experience in tournament stakes. However, Justin Wetzell’s reach and striking power create a credible threat for an upset, especially if he can keep the fight standing and utilize distance.

Predicted Score: Marcirley Alves wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Justin Wetzell vs Mando Gutierrez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-20
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming PFL 2025 World Tournament bantamweight semifinal between Justin Wetzell and Mando Gutierrez promises to be an intriguing matchup. Wetzell, with a record of 11-2, faces Gutierrez, who holds a record of 11-3. The contest will showcase skills from two fighters looking to advance in the tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have strong records, but Wetzell's performance in regional circuits suggests he might have an edge in conditioning and strategy.
• There is no recent head-to-head data available for these fighters, making it a challenging matchup to predict based on past interactions.
• No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The fight's environment and crowd support could influence performance, but given it is part of a tournament, both fighters are likely accustomed to high-pressure situations.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as advancing in the tournament offers significant career benefits.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Justin Wetzell: -201, Mando Gutierrez: 161	Justin Wetzell	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Justin Wetzell -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Justin Wetzell is favored to win due to his recent form and experience.

Predicted Score: Given the nature of MMA, predicting a specific score is challenging. However, based on Wetzell's strong record, he is likely to win by decision or late-round stoppage.

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Nick Meck vs. Alan Domínguez Prediction	Nick Meck Win	-240	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Darragh Kelly vs. Mike Hamel Prediction	Darragh Kelly Win	-265	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Justin Wetzell vs. Mando Gutierrez Prediction	Justin Wetzell Win	-201	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +192

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $58.44

Match Analysis: Kasum Kasumov vs Justin Wetzell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Kasum Kasumov and Justin Wetzell is expected to be a competitive bout. Kasumov, from Russia, is favored to win, while Wetzell, from the USA, offers value as an underdog. The fight lacks detailed historical head-to-head data, but Kasumov's odds suggest he is considered stronger by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kasum Kasumov's recent form and overall performance make him a favorite. Justin Wetzell's underdog status could indicate lesser recent success or less experience against top opponents.
• No historical head-to-head data is available, which makes it difficult to analyze past performances between these fighters.
• There is no information about current injuries affecting either fighter.
• External factors like training, strategy, and mental preparation will play a significant role in determining the outcome.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Kasumov's position as favorite might put additional pressure on him.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-550 (Kasum Kasumov), 350 (Justin Wetzell)	Kasum Kasumov	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kasum Kasumov -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on odds and available data, Kasum Kasumov is likely to win.

Predicted Score: Unapplicable for MMA matches typically decided by knockout, submission, or decision.