Match Analysis: Justice Torres vs Javier Reyes Rugeles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-24
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 7, 145 lbs Division
Game Overview
Justice Torres (12-3, 4-1 last 5) faces Javier Reyes Rugeles (21-5, 3-2 last 5) in a lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Torres is younger with a slight reach advantage, coming off better recent form. Reyes has greater career experience but recent performance has been inconsistent.
Key Factors to Consider
- Justice Torres shows stronger recent form with a 4-1 record in his last five fights versus Javier Reyes's 3-2. Torres has a balanced finishing ability but more decision wins recently, while Reyes features more KO and submission finishes historically.
- No direct previous head-to-head matchup recorded between Justice Torres and Javier Reyes Rugeles.
- No recent or reported injuries affecting either fighter going into this matchup.
- Multiple opponent changes for Torres might have disrupted preparation but does not seem to have reduced his readiness. Both fighters motivated by potential UFC contract opportunities.
- Both athletes are highly motivated to impress on Contender Series for UFC contracts. Torres might have a slight edge due to more consistent recent success and youth advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Javier Reyes Rugeles: -180, Justice Torres: +155 | Javier Reyes Rugeles | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5: -110, Justice Torres +1.5: -110 | Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -155, Under 2.5 rounds: +135 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Javier Reyes Rugeles -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 41% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Javier Reyes Rugeles; Spread: Reyes to win by decision; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Javier Reyes Rugeles wins by decision in under 3 rounds