The Newcastle Knights host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 14 of the NRL, with the Sea Eagles favored to win. The Knights have struggled with offensive consistency, averaging just 13.3 points this season, while the Sea Eagles seek back-to-back wins following a recent victory over the Brisbane Broncos.
Key Factors to Consider
Newcastle Knights are the worst offensive team in 2025, averaging 13.3 points per game. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have shown inconsistency but recently held the Broncos to a low score.
Recent head-to-head statistics show the Sea Eagles have a strong record against the Knights, though specific recent match results are not detailed here.
Taniela Paseka of the Sea Eagles is out with an Achilles injury, expected to return around Round 25.
Home advantage for the Knights might be mitigated by the Sea Eagles' form, though Manly needs to maintain consistency.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Sea Eagles have higher stakes in maintaining their top eight position.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Sea Eagles: -240, Knights: 205, Draw: 2400
Sea Eagles win
★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread
Knights +5.5 $1.91, Sea Eagles -5.5 $1.91
Sea Eagles cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115
Under 44.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1575%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 44.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 1575% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win by around 10 points.