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Wyatt Sanford vs. Mark Andrejev Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Wyatt Sanford vs Mark Andrejev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

The upcoming super lightweight boxing match between Wyatt Sanford and Mark Andrejev is scheduled for June 27, 2025, at 15:00 UTC. Wyatt Sanford, a 26-year-old Canadian prospect with a professional debut earlier in 2025, enters the bout favored heavily over Mark Andrejev, a less experienced opponent with a 4-1 record. The fight is generating attention as Sanford was originally set to face Igor Lazarev before Andrejev replaced him. Sanford is favored due to superior recent form and potential skills advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wyatt Sanford has shown solid progression in his early pro career with three bouts in 2025 and is considered a rising prospect. Mark Andrejev, while having a respectable 4-1 record, lacks significant experience and high-profile wins compared to Sanford.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts exist between Wyatt Sanford and Mark Andrejev, making this their first encounter. Sanford's form and status as a hot prospect give him the psychological and tactical edge.
  • No reported injuries or health issues affecting either boxer prior to the fight have been documented.
  • The bout was adjusted on short notice with Andrejev replacing Lazarev, which may influence preparation dynamics. The fight location details remain unspecified, removing venue influences from consideration.
  • Sanford aims to maintain momentum as a rising prospect and justify heavy favoritism, while Andrejev is motivated to upset the odds and establish himself against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wyatt Sanford: -10000, Mark Andrejev: 2000 Wyatt Sanford ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Sanford -3.5 rounds favored Wyatt Sanford to win by clear margin ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 6.5 rounds: 1.85, Under 6.5 rounds: 1.95 Under 6.5 rounds (Sanford expected to finish early) ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wyatt Sanford -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wyatt Sanford at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wyatt Sanford is predicted to win decisively due to superior recent performance, prospect status, and extremely favorable betting odds.

Predicted Score: Sanford wins by TKO in the 5th round


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Christian Mbilli vs. Maciej Sulecki Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Mbilli vs Maciej Sulecki – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Videotron Centre, Montreal, Canada

Game Overview

Christian Mbilli, an undefeated and aggressive super middleweight contender with a record of 28-0 (23 KOs), defends his WBC Interim super middleweight world title against Maciej Sulecki, a seasoned Polish boxer with a 33-3 record (13 KOs). The bout is highly significant as the winner moves closer to a potential mega-fight with Canelo Alvarez or Terence Crawford. Mbilli is known for his relentless pressure, high punch volume, and knockout power, while Sulecki brings experience, counter-punching skills, and resilience, having rebounded after his first career stoppage loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mbilli has been dominant with 23 KOs in 28 wins, showing recent form by convincingly defeating Sergiy Derevyanchenko by decision. Sulecki, despite his 3 losses to elite-level fighters, demonstrated strong recovery with a 10th-round TKO win over Ali Akhmedov, showcasing his durability and power.
  • This is their first meeting; no prior head-to-head results exist. Mbilli's unbeaten status and recent momentum give him a slight edge according to expert analysis.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight is at a neutral venue, Videotron Centre in Montreal, potentially favoring Mbilli as a rising star with home crowd support. Pressure mounts on Mbilli to solidify his position as the next major 168-pound star after Jaime Munguia's recent failure.
  • Mbilli is motivated to retain his interim title and position himself for a lucrative mega-fight, while Sulecki is in his possible final window of opportunity to claim a world title and revive his career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christian Mbilli: -2500, Maciej Sulecki: 1100 Christian Mbilli ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Mbilli -2.5 rounds: -110, Sulecki +2.5 rounds: -110 Mbilli -2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 9.5 rounds: -120, Under 9.5 rounds: 100 Over 9.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Mbilli -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Christian Mbilli is predicted to win by unanimous decision or late stoppage, leveraging his pressure fighting style and higher knockout ratio to break down Sulecki over the rounds.

Predicted Score: Mbilli wins by unanimous decision or stoppage in rounds 10-12


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Valentin Moldavsky vs. Alexander Romanov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Valentin Moldavsky vs Alexander Romanov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois, United States

Game Overview

The heavyweight semifinal bout between Valentin Moldavsky (14-4) and Alexander Romanov (19-3) is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals event. Moldavsky, with a solid PFL record (2-1) and previous experience, faces Romanov, a former UFC contender who impressed in his PFL debut. The match is highly competitive with both fighters bringing strong grappling and submission skills to the cage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moldavsky has demonstrated consistent performance in the PFL, with a strong wrestling base and strategic pacing in fights. Romanov boasts a high finishing rate with dominant grappling and submission capability, coming off a successful UFC tenure and a strong start in PFL.
  • This appears to be the first competitive match between Moldavsky and Romanov, with no known previous head-to-head records.
  • No public or reported injuries affecting either fighter have been noted leading up to the fight.
  • The fight takes place in a high-stakes PFL semifinal setting at a well-known venue which can impact fighter motivation and pressure. No other external factors such as travel issues or recent controversies affect either fighter.
  • Both fighters have strong motivation to win, with a $500,000 prize and championship belt at stake in the tournament finals. Romanov’s recent entry and success in PFL adds extra incentive, while Moldavsky aims to maintain his steady progress and claim the title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alexander Romanov: 145, Valentin Moldavsky: -175 Alexander Romanov to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Valentin Moldavsky -1.5 rounds Valentin Moldavsky to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valentin Moldavsky 54%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Valentin Moldavsky at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Romanov is favored to win this bout by a methodical grappling and submission strategy, though Moldavsky’s wrestling and fight experience make it a close contest. Romanov’s momentum and finishing skills give him a slight edge in probability of victory.

Predicted Score: Romanov wins by submission in round 2


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Raufeon Stots vs. Sergio Pettis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Raufeon Stots vs Sergio Pettis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

This high-stakes PFL bantamweight semifinal bout features former teammates and Bellator Bantamweight Champions Raufeon Stots and Sergio Pettis, both elite fighters with strong professional records. Stots holds a 21-2 record with prior PFL experience (1-0), while Pettis is debuting in the PFL with a 23-7 record overall. The bout is set for June 27, 2025, at Wintrust Arena in Chicago and is part of a stacked fight card including several other tournament semifinals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have demonstrated high-performance levels throughout their careers; Stots has shown strong grappling skills complemented by striking, while Pettis brings well-rounded MMA skills with a background in multiple disciplines. Stots has the slight edge with fewer losses and recent momentum in PFL competition.
  • As former teammates and Bellator Bantamweight Champions, this fight marks a new rivalry in the PFL environment. They have not faced each other professionally in the PFL yet, making this a fresh matchup with unknown dynamics.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter leading up to this bout.
  • The fight takes place in Chicago's Wintrust Arena, providing a neutral venue atmosphere. Both fighters are motivated to advance in the 2025 PFL World Tournament.
  • With a semifinal spot on the line in the 2025 PFL Bantamweight World Tournament, both fighters are highly motivated to secure victory and progress towards the championship, especially with Pettis making his PFL debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -175, away: 145 Raufeon Stots ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -1.5, away: +1.5 Raufeon Stots -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_1.5_rounds: -110, under_1.5_rounds: -110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Raufeon Stots -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Raufeon Stots at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raufeon Stots is favored to win based on current odds, recent form in PFL, and overall record. The fight is expected to be competitive, but Stots’ momentum and experience in PFL give him a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: Raufeon Stots wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Dalton Rosta vs. Aaron Jeffery Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dalton Rosta vs Aaron Jeffery – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL World Tournament 7 Semifinals Venue (Exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This PFL 2025 World Tournament 7 Semifinals match pits Dalton Rosta (10-1 overall, 1-0 PFL) against Aaron Jeffery (16-5 overall, 1-0 PFL). Both fighters have had a single win in the current PFL season and are fighting for a spot in the finals. Rosta seeks redemption and to solidify his rising status, while Jeffery brings greater overall experience and aims to leverage that in this high-stakes matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dalton Rosta has demonstrated strong performance with a 10-1 record and has shown solid form in PFL, while Aaron Jeffery's 16-5 record reflects greater experience and resilience. Both fighters have 1-0 records in the current PFL season, indicating recent competitive success.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Dalton Rosta and Aaron Jeffery have been recorded, making this a fresh encounter with no direct matchup history.
  • No injury reports have been disclosed for either fighter, indicating both are expected to enter the bout fully fit.
  • Dalton Rosta has expressed high motivation and readiness, as per his recent social media posts, showing strong mental preparation. The fight is part of the PFL World Tournament semifinals, increasing stakes and pressure.
  • Rosta appears highly motivated for redemption after previous setbacks, while Jeffery is motivated to capitalize on his experience and advance to the finals. Both fighters have strong incentives to win, though Rosta's public statements suggest exceptional focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dalton Rosta: -140, Aaron Jeffery: 110 Dalton Rosta ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dalton Rosta -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dalton Rosta at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the odds and available data, Dalton Rosta is favored due to his current form and motivation, though Aaron Jeffery's experience makes this a closely contested bout. The prediction leans towards a Rosta win but by a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Dalton Rosta by unanimous decision


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Phil Davis vs. Sullivan Cauley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Phil Davis vs Sullivan Cauley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA light heavyweight semifinal bout between Phil Davis and Sullivan Cauley is set to be a highly competitive matchup at Wintrust Arena, Chicago. Phil Davis, an experienced 40-year-old veteran, faces the rising star Cauley, who is riding a wave of momentum with his recent first-round TKO win and an impressive 7-1 professional record. Cauley is known for ending all his fights in the first round, demonstrating explosive early fight power, while Davis brings championship-level experience and technical ground control to the cage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phil Davis has a wealth of experience with a solid record in light heavyweight MMA fights, known for his wrestling and grappling abilities. Sullivan Cauley, meanwhile, is on an upward trajectory with a strong streak of first-round finishes and has recently secured a swift TKO win, indicating powerful striking and finishing ability. Davis’ consistency contrasts with Cauley’s aggressive finishing style.
  • There is no publicly available record of a previous head-to-head encounter between Phil Davis and Sullivan Cauley, making this their first competitive meeting in professional MMA.
  • Sullivan Cauley recently returned from a torn ACL injury sustained prior to August 2023 but appears fully recovered, demonstrated by a dominant first-round TKO in his last fight. Phil Davis has no recent injury reports affecting his performance.
  • The fight takes place in Chicago's Wintrust Arena with the PFL semifinals spotlight, potentially amplifying the stakes and motivation for both fighters. Cauley's home state advantage is not present, whereas Davis is well accustomed to high-pressure championship settings.
  • Cauley is highly motivated to continue his breakout run in the PFL after returning from injury and securing a first-round finish that propelled him to the semifinals. Davis, with his experience and veteran status, is motivated to leverage his tactical fighting style to secure another title run and prove his longevity in the sport.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phil Davis: -260, Sullivan Cauley: 200 Phil Davis ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Phil Davis: -1.5, Sullivan Cauley: +1.5 Phil Davis covers -1.5 rounds (win by decision or stoppage beyond round 1) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -120, Under 1.5 rounds: 100 Under 1.5 rounds (fight ends early, likely due to Cauley’s history of first-round finishes) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Phil Davis -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Phil Davis at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Phil Davis is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his experience and grappling control, but Sullivan Cauley’s aggressive early striking presents a significant threat of an upset with a first-round finish.

Predicted Score: Phil Davis wins via decision or late stoppage at round 3 or 4


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Oleg Popov vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Rodrigo Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

The heavyweight semifinal bout between Oleg Popov and Rodrigo Nascimento is a pivotal match in the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7, held at Wintrust Arena. Popov enters with a strong record of 20-2, known for his well-rounded striking and grappling skills, while Nascimento holds a 12-3 record with a reputation for powerful finishes and resilience. The fight carries high stakes as the winner advances towards the PFL heavyweight finals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oleg Popov has demonstrated consistent performance with a diverse skill set both offensively and defensively, maintaining top form throughout the season. Rodrigo Nascimento has shown strong finishing ability but has had occasional vulnerabilities in striking defense and ground exchanges.
  • There is no prior direct matchup between Popov and Nascimento, making this fight a fresh tactical contest based on their respective fight styles and recent performances.
  • No publicly reported injuries to either fighter have been noted leading up to this bout, indicating both are likely entering the fight in full health and peak condition.
  • The bout takes place on a high-pressure stage of the PFL semifinals, with an enthusiastic home crowd likely favoring Oleg Popov who represents the local Chicago MMA scene. The venue and atmosphere could provide a slight psychological edge for Popov.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a spot in the PFL heavyweight finals, with Popov seeking to affirm his status as a top contender, and Nascimento aiming to leverage his powerful finishing streak to upset the favored Popov.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oleg Popov: -226, Rodrigo Nascimento: 186 Oleg Popov ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Popov: -1.5 (-110), Nascimento: +1.5 (-110) Popov -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oleg Popov -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering the records, skill diversity, and home advantage, Oleg Popov is favored to win by decision or late stoppage. Rodrigo Nascimento poses a significant threat with knockout power and could capitalize on any openings, but Popov’s experience and tactical versatility likely give him the upper hand.

Predicted Score: Popov wins by decision or TKO in round 3 or 4


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Joshua Silveira vs. Fabian Edwards Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joshua Silveira vs Fabian Edwards – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

The middleweight semifinal of the 2025 PFL World Tournament features Fabian Edwards vs Joshua Silveira. Both fighters hold identical professional records of 14-4. Edwards, brother of former UFC champion Leon Edwards, is aiming to rebound after a recent loss in a Bellator title rematch and looks to advance toward a PFL title. The fight is highly anticipated and will be held at the 10,387 capacity Wintrust Arena in Chicago, with live streaming available worldwide on DAZN.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fabian Edwards has shown strong resilience and technique in recent high-profile bouts, including Bellator fights, while Silveira has maintained a consistent record and performance level in middleweight competition. Both fighters have similar experience and win-loss track records, making this matchup evenly poised.
  • No direct previous fights recorded between Edwards and Silveira, making this a fresh matchup with no prior head-to-head data to influence outcomes.
  • No publicly disclosed injuries from either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are expected to enter the fight at full fitness.
  • The fight takes place in a major arena with significant audience capacity, which might influence fighter performance due to atmosphere. Edwards has additional motivation as the brother of a former UFC champion striving to carve out his own legacy. Live worldwide streaming elevates pressure and exposure.
  • Edwards aims to rebound from a recent title fight loss and emulate his brother Leon's success, adding psychological edge and drive. Silveira, with a matching record, seeks to upset the favorite and progress in the PFL tournament, bringing high motivation to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fabian Edwards: -500, Joshua Silveira: 375 Fabian Edwards ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Fabian Edwards -1.5: -110, Joshua Silveira +1.5: -110 Fabian Edwards to cover -1.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fabian Edwards -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fabian Edwards at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fabian Edwards is favored to win given his recent experience in top-level fights and family legacy momentum, but Joshua Silveira’s comparable record and lack of head-to-head history keeps this a competitive bout. Edwards’ superior odds reflect his higher probability of winning, but Silveira’s underdog status suggests potential for an upset.

Predicted Score: Fabian Edwards wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage, likely within 3 rounds


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Deontay Wilder vs. Tyrrell Anthony Herndon Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Deontay Wilder vs Tyrrell Anthony Herndon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Charles Koch Arena, Wichita

Game Overview

Deontay Wilder, a former heavyweight champion renowned for his devastating punching power with 42 KOs in 48 wins, faces journeyman Tyrrell Anthony Herndon in a 10-round bout. Wilder, 39, seeks to re-establish himself after a string of losses including a brutal KO by Zhilei Zhang and defeats by Joseph Parker and Tyson Fury. Herndon, 37, has a respectable record but is considered a stepping stone opponent expected to be stopped early. The fight is significant as a potential resurgence moment for Wilder.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wilder has been inconsistent recently with only one win in his last five fights, relying heavily on knockout power. Herndon is a durable journeyman with 24 wins (15 KOs) but has lost to top competition and recently won a split decision in May 2024, showing resilience but lacking elite power.
  • No previous fights between Wilder and Herndon; Wilder holds a clear advantage in pedigree, power, and experience at the world level.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The fight takes place at Charles Koch Arena in Wichita, providing a neutral venue with no home advantage. Wilder is highly motivated to stage a comeback after recent defeats.
  • Wilder is motivated to regain heavyweight title contender status and silence critics after recent losses, while Herndon is motivated by the opportunity to upset a former champion and gain recognition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Deontay Wilder: -2500, Tyrrell Anthony Herndon: 1000 Deontay Wilder to win ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Deontay Wilder: -4.5, Tyrrell Anthony Herndon: +4.5 Wilder to win by more than 4.5 rounds ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 5.5 rounds: 1.85, Under 5.5 rounds: 1.95 Under 5.5 rounds (early stoppage likely) ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Deontay Wilder -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Deontay Wilder is heavily favored to win, likely by an early stoppage knockout given his punching power and Herndon's status as a journeyman who has struggled against elite fighters. The probability of Wilder winning is very high, with low chances for an upset by Herndon.

Predicted Score: Wilder wins by TKO in round 3


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Rafael Alves vs. Karl Albrektsson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafael Alves vs Karl Albrektsson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

The MMA Mixed Martial Arts match between Rafael Alves and Karl Albrektsson takes place during the 2025 PFL Light Heavyweight Semifinals. Both fighters are competing at 205 lbs, with a focus on advancing to the PFL World Tournament Finals. The bout is highly competitive given both have shown strong performances in recent bouts within the PFL season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rafael Alves has a strong grappling and submission skill set complemented by steady striking, whereas Karl Albrektsson is known for his toughness and well-rounded striking and wrestling abilities. Alves carries momentum from his recent fights and has a slightly better overall finishing rate. Albrektsson's resilience and conditioning are notable strengths.
  • There is no official record of a direct head-to-head matchup between Rafael Alves and Karl Albrektsson prior to this fight, making this encounter a fresh tactical challenge for both fighters.
  • No publicly reported injuries or health issues are known for either fighter leading into the match, indicating both are likely at full fighting capacity.
  • The fight occurs at a significant PFL event hosted at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, giving both fighters exposure but no home advantage. The event's high stakes and media coverage could increase motivation but also pressure.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as a win advances them to the prestigious PFL World Tournament Finals with a substantial prize and career advancement on the line.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rafael Alves: -165, Karl Albrektsson: 135 Rafael Alves to win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Rafael Alves: -1.5, Karl Albrektsson: +1.5 Rafael Alves by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael Alves -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rafael Alves at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Alves is favored to win the bout due to his slightly better odds, demonstrated finishing ability, and current form. However, Karl Albrektsson's resilience and capability to withstand pressure make this a potentially close fight.

Predicted Score: Rafael Alves wins by decision or late submission in round 3


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