Match Analysis: Steven Butler vs Jose De Jesus Macias – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Centre Videotron, Quebec City, Canada

Game Overview

Steven Butler and Jose De Jesus Macias will face off in a 10-round super middleweight rematch at Centre Videotron. Their first fight in early 2021 ended with Macias winning by fifth-round TKO. Butler, a former two-time Canadian title challenger, looks to avenge that loss on home turf, while Macias aims to repeat his victory on foreign soil.

Key Factors to Consider

• Steven Butler holds a record of 35-5-1 with 29 KOs, showing strong knockout power and recent form with a quick KO in his last November bout. Jose De Jesus Macias has a record of 29-13-4 with 15 KOs and last fought in November as well, securing a fourth-round stoppage. Butler has the advantage of recent momentum and home crowd support, while Macias has proven finishing ability and experience.
• Macias leads the head-to-head after stopping Butler in the fifth round in their initial 2021 matchup. This rematch is highly anticipated with unfinished business, as Butler is motivated to reverse the previous outcome.
• No recent injury reports have been noted for either fighter, suggesting both are in full fitness for this rematch.
• The fight being held in Quebec City gives Butler a home advantage with strong local support. The event is undercard to a high-profile bout, increasing the spotlight. Macias has expressed dissatisfaction at returning to Butler’s home ground but is motivated to prove himself again.
• Butler is described as 'enraged' and 'hungry' for revenge after prior cancellations and the first fight loss, indicating high motivation. Macias is confident in repeating his victory and has public statements emphasizing his intent to finish Butler again, showing strong fighting spirit.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Steven Butler: -295, Jose De Jesus Macias: 225	Steven Butler	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Steven Butler -1.5 rounds: -110, Jose De Jesus Macias +1.5 rounds: -110	Steven Butler -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -105, Under 7.5 rounds: -115	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Steven Butler -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Steven Butler at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steven Butler is favored to win the rematch due to home advantage, improved form, and higher knockout power, but Macias’s previous win and resilience make an upset possible.

Predicted Score: Steven Butler wins by 7th round TKO

Match Analysis: Arslanbek Makhmudov vs Ricardo Brown – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Videotron Centre, Quebec City, Canada

Game Overview

Arslanbek Makhmudov and Ricardo Brown face off in a heavyweight boxing match over 10 rounds. Makhmudov, with a record of 19-2, fights out of Montreal, Canada, while the undefeated Ricardo Brown (12-0, 11 KOs) fights out of Brampton, Ontario. This bout is critical for both fighters' careers, held in Quebec City on June 27, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Makhmudov has had recent setbacks with two losses in his last three fights, including stoppages by Guido Vianello and Agit Kabayel, but also showcased power by stopping Miljan Rovcanin last year. Brown remains undefeated with a strong KO ratio and has shown resilience with a unanimous decision win after knocking down Adam Kolarik in October.
• This is the first meeting between Makhmudov and Brown, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
• No significant injuries reported for either boxer leading up to the fight.
• The fight takes place in Canada where both fighters have some local support, with Makhmudov based in Montreal and Brown in Brampton. The bout is televised live on ESPN+ in the US. Both fighters are considered heavy hitters with solid fan interest.
• Makhmudov seeks to rebound after recent losses and re-establish himself as a top heavyweight contender. Brown aims to defend his undefeated record and gain significant career momentum with a victory against a more experienced foe.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov: -255, Ricardo Brown: 195	Arslanbek Makhmudov	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Makhmudov -1.5: -150, Brown +1.5: +130	Makhmudov -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arslanbek Makhmudov at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Makhmudov is favored due to his experience and past high-level competition despite recent losses. Brown's youth and power make him a dangerous opponent. Expect a competitive fight with Makhmudov likely to leverage his ring savvy to secure a decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Makhmudov wins by late-round stoppage or unanimous decision after 8-10 rounds

Match Analysis: Leila Beaudoin vs Elhem Mekhaled – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Centre Videotron, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Leila Beaudoin and Elhem Mekhaled face off for the WBO International Female Super Featherweight Title. Beaudoin holds a 12-1-0 record with a steady orthodox style but lacks knockout power, while Mekhaled is a more experienced opponent with a 17-3-0 record and slightly higher KO ratio. Both fighters use orthodox stance and the match is expected to be tactical and closely contested.

Key Factors to Consider

• Beaudoin has a strong win record but no KOs and has faced less challenging opponents. Mekhaled has more fights and experience against tougher competition, with a better KO ratio of 20% compared to 8% for Beaudoin.
• No prior head-to-head encounters recorded, making this a fresh matchup with no direct past data to influence predictions.
• No reports of injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• Fight is held at Beaudoin's home country, Canada, possibly giving her crowd support. Event coverage available on ESPN+, increasing fight visibility and pressure.
• Both fighters are motivated by the WBO International title on the line, with Mekhaled aiming to capitalize on experience and Beaudoin seeking to defend home turf and maintain her impressive record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elhem Mekhaled: +110, Leila Beaudoin: -145	Leila Beaudoin	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Leila Beaudoin -1.5 rounds: -120, Elhem Mekhaled +1.5 rounds: +100	Leila Beaudoin -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Leila Beaudoin -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Leila Beaudoin at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elhem Mekhaled is favored to win due to superior experience and stronger competition background, although Beaudoin’s home advantage and strong record make it a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Leila Beaudoin wins by decision after a tactical and close 10-round fight

Match Analysis: Francesco Mazzeo vs Aldo Pereira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: TBD

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Francesco Mazzeo and Aldo Pereira on June 27, 2025, promises a compelling contest, with Mazzeo entering as the betting favorite. Mazzeo’s robust striking and overall MMA experience contrast with Pereira’s grappling expertise, setting the stage for a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. The fight is anticipated to test each athlete's ability to impose their style effectively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Francesco Mazzeo has demonstrated strong recent performances characterized by effective striking and consistent fight control. Aldo Pereira, on the other hand, brings a solid grappling background, making the fight dynamic and tactically interesting. Both fighters have shown improvements but Mazzeo's recent form and power give him the edge.
• There are no recorded previous encounters between Mazzeo and Pereira, making this their inaugural fight against one another. This adds an element of unpredictability, with both fighters likely relying heavily on game plans tailored to neutralize each other's strengths.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full physical capacity for the fight.
• The fight date is fixed for June 27, 2025, with no venue confirmed yet publicly. No other external factors such as travel issues or legal problems have been noted that might affect fighter preparation or performance.
• Both athletes appear highly motivated; Mazzeo looks poised to maintain his winning momentum, while Pereira aims to prove his grappling prowess against a favored striker. This motivation could elevate the intensity and unpredictability of the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Francesco Mazzeo: -450, Aldo Pereira: 275	Francesco Mazzeo to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Mazzeo -1.5 rounds	Mazzeo to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Francesco Mazzeo -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Francesco Mazzeo at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Mazzeo’s favored status and strong striking ability combined with Pereira’s grappling challenge, the prediction leans toward Francesco Mazzeo winning by decision or late stoppage if he manages to maintain distance and control. Pereira’s best path to victory is to bring the fight to the ground early to exploit his grappling specialty.

Predicted Score: Francesco Mazzeo wins by decision or TKO in round 3

Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Bec Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The welterweight bout between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren at Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged promises an intense grappling and striking battle. Del Valle, with a 4-1 record, is known for his grappling dominance and finishing ability via submissions and TKOs. Berggren, with a 6-3 record, brings a balanced threat with KO/TKO and submission victories and is motivated to prove his place on the international stage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has 4 wins and 1 loss with a high finish rate, showing strong grappling and submission skills. Theodor Berggren holds a 6-3 record with more KO/TKO wins but has a slightly less consistent win ratio. Berggren's recent training changes could improve his performance.
• This is the first recorded professional matchup between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren with no previous head-to-head fights.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
• The fight is in Manchester's Bec Arena, potentially favoring Del Valle as the home fighter. Berggren is motivated by fighting on foreign soil and competing internationally without long travel.
• Del Valle is the favorite with grappling superiority, while Berggren is highly motivated to make a statement and turn his recent losses into a career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle: -170, Theodor Berggren: 130	Manuel Del Valle	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Not explicitly provided; typical MMA over/under around 2.5 rounds	Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes early)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is favored to win by submission or TKO due to his grappling dominance and finishing ability with a 68% confidence, while Berggren's striking and improved training could lead to an upset with a 32% chance.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins via submission or TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Charles Joyner – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner at Cage Warriors 190 represents a clash in the Light-heavyweight division. Ariano enters the fight undefeated at 3-0, showing a strong finish rate of 66.7% with two KO/TKO wins. Joyner, with a professional record of 5-1-1, brings more ring experience and recent intense camp preparations, indicating readiness for a competitive bout. The fight will be contested at 205 lbs, and it is anticipated to showcase a blend of striking power and tactical grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nell Ariano has a flawless professional record (3-0) with a high finishing rate, suggesting strong striking skills and fight-ending capability. Charles Joyner holds a more extensive record (5-1-1), indicating more combat experience and potential resilience. Joyner's last five fights have seen a mix of wins and losses, reflecting a competitive but inconsistent pattern, whereas Ariano is on an upward trajectory.
• No previous meetings have been recorded between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match based on current available information.
• The fight is set in Manchester, England, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have shown motivation in training camps, with Joyner recently highlighting an intense final training session, suggesting high readiness and focus.
• Nell Ariano, being undefeated, is motivated to maintain his perfect record and establish himself as a rising contender. Charles Joyner appears motivated to rebound and capitalize on his experience, finishing camp with intensity to secure a win that boosts his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charles Joyner: +105, Nell Ariano: -145	Nell Ariano to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	+1.5/-1.5	Nell Ariano -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds / Under 2.5 rounds	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nell Ariano 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nell Ariano at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nell Ariano is predicted to narrowly outpoint Charles Joyner or possibly finish early due to his high finish rate and unbeaten momentum, but Joyner's experience and conditioning may keep it competitive. A decision win or late finish for Ariano is probable.

Predicted Score: Nell Ariano wins by decision or TKO in round 3 or later

Match Analysis: Alexander Loof vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The main event at Cage Warriors 190 'Unplugged' features a featherweight bout between Aiden Lee and Alexander Lööf scheduled for June 27, 2025. This fight is set for three rounds at the 145 lbs featherweight limit. Lee is the more experienced fighter with 13 wins against 9 losses, while Lööf has a strong undefeated record of 7 wins and no losses. The bout will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass, starting at 8:00 PM BST from the BEC Arena in Manchester.

Key Factors to Consider

• Aiden Lee shows a more extensive fight record (13-9) with a balanced finishing ability (3 KO/TKO and 8 submissions), indicating a versatile skill set. Alexander Lööf is undefeated (7-0) with fewer finishes by submission but a solid decision win ratio (5 out of 7). Lööf's undefeated streak and fewer losses suggest rising momentum, but Lee's experience and grappling prowess cannot be underestimated.
• No direct head-to-head match history is available between Lee and Lööf, making this their first encounter at a major promotion.
• No public reports of current injuries or health issues for either fighter heading into the bout.
• The fight takes place in Manchester at the BEC Arena, potentially giving some home advantage to Alexander Lööf if he is more acclimated or locally supported. The event is invite-only, which might elevate pressure and focus for both athletes.
• Aiden Lee aims to rebound and prove himself against an undefeated opponent, bringing motivation from a strong grappling camp. Alexander Lööf looks to maintain his unbeaten record, leveraging his youth and momentum to elevate his standing in the featherweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aiden Lee: -144, Alexander Lööf: 104	Alexander Lööf	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Aiden Lee -1.5: -110, Alexander Lööf +1.5: -110	Alexander Lööf +1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Aiden Lee 12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aiden Lee at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Lööf by decision. Lööf's undefeated record combined with a strong striking and decision game suggests he will outpoint Lee over three rounds despite Lee's submission threat. Lööf's youth and recent form give him a slight edge in endurance and pace.

Predicted Score: Alexander Lööf wins by unanimous decision

Match Analysis: Jordan Molinari vs Yannis Osmani – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

This MMA featherweight bout features Jordan Molinari versus Yannis Osmani at Cage Warriors 190 Unplugged, set in Manchester's BEC Arena. Molinari is favored on the moneyline, with odds reflecting his status as the home fighter and probable favorite. Both fighters have a competitive background but limited public head-to-head history, making this a tactical and dynamic match to watch.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jordan Molinari has shown solid performance in recent fights and preparation, receiving support as the home fighter. Yannis Osmani is considered an underdog but brings a resilient style and potential for upset, with odds reflecting his outsider status.
• There is little detailed head-to-head data publicly available, suggesting they have not met before or have limited prior encounters, increasing unpredictability.
• No notable injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into the match, indicating both are likely competing at full physical capacity.
• The fight being part of an exclusive invite-only Cage Warriors event adds pressure and motivation for both fighters to perform well and advance their standing. The venue in Manchester may slightly favor Molinari as the home competitor.
• Molinari is motivated to leverage his favored status and home advantage to secure a decisive win, while Osmani aims to capitalize on underdog momentum and showcase his skills on a bigger platform.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jordan Molinari: -355, Yannis Osmani: 280	Jordan Molinari	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Jordan Molinari: -1.5 at -150 approx, Yannis Osmani: +1.5 at +130 approx	Jordan Molinari to win by 2 or more rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -210, Under 1.5 rounds: 170	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jordan Molinari -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Molinari at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Molinari is the predicted winner due to favored odds, home advantage, and consistent recent performance, though Yannis Osmani has a realistic chance to challenge depending on fight dynamics.

Predicted Score: Jordan Molinari wins by decision or late stoppage, 2-1 rounds

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Match Analysis: Nathan McGillian vs Jake McHugh – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors 190

Game Overview

Cage Warriors 190 features a compelling matchup between Nathan McGillian and Jake McHugh. McHugh is the betting favorite according to available odds, but statistical records for McGillian are sparse. The lack of detailed fight records for McGillian introduces uncertainty, while McHugh has a recorded professional record of 2 wins, 1 loss, with both wins coming by submission[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Jake McHugh has a clear professional record edge (2-1) over Nathan McGillian, whose record is unavailable. McHugh’s victories are both by submission, indicating a strong grappling game[5].
• No previous head-to-head encounters between McGillian and McHugh are documented[1][3][5].
• No injury reports are available for either fighter at this time.
• The bout is part of Cage Warriors 190, aired live on UFC Fight Pass. No major external factors, such as event changes or crowd influence, have been reported[4].
• Both fighters are motivated to make an impact; McHugh has more to prove with a recent loss, and McGillian has the opportunity for a breakout performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jake McHugh -350, Nathan McGillian +260 (approx.)[2]	Jake McHugh	High (70%)

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given McHugh’s experience and grappling strength, he is favored to win by submission in the early-to-middle rounds. However, uncertainty around McGillian’s preparation and style makes this less predictable than typical matchups.

Predicted Score: Jake McHugh by Submission, Round 2

Match Analysis: Adam Darby vs Tato Primera – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The fight between Adam Darby and Tato Primera is a light heavyweight bout scheduled at the Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged event. Adam Darby enters as a strong favorite with significantly better odds compared to Tato Primera. The event is taking place in a prestigious setting with a competitive fight card, highlighting the importance of this matchup for both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Adam Darby has shown consistent performance and is favored to win by most bookmakers, indicating superior recent form and skill level over Tato Primera. Primera is considered the underdog with longer odds, suggesting less confidence from the betting public in his performance.
• There is no recorded previous matchup between Adam Darby and Tato Primera, making this encounter their first direct competition, which adds unpredictability to the fight dynamics.
• No reports of injuries for either fighter leading into the fight have been made public, suggesting both athletes are at full health entering the match.
• The fight is held in Manchester, England, which may favor Darby given regional support and familiarity with the venue. The event is invite-only, which could influence fighter motivation and focus.
• Both fighters appear motivated, with Darby looking to capitalize on his favored status to maintain momentum in his career while Primera aims to pull off an upset against a heavily favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adam Darby: -1400, Tato Primera: 800	Adam Darby to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Adam Darby: -1.5, Tato Primera: +1.5	Adam Darby covers the spread (-1.5 rounds)	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adam Darby -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adam Darby at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Darby is predicted to win the bout decisively due to superior odds, perceived skill, and home advantage. The fight is expected to be competitive but Darby’s dominance is probable.

Predicted Score: Adam Darby wins by TKO in Round 2