Match Analysis: Jesus Pinedo vs Gabriel Alves Braga – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

This is a featherweight semifinal match in the PFL 2025 World Tournament between Jesus Pinedo, the 2023 PFL Featherweight Champion, and Gabriel Alves Braga. Both fighters have a history of competing against each other, currently standing at 1-1.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jesus Pinedo is 25-6-1 in his career, with a recent win over Borch by first-round KO. Gabriel Alves Braga is 17-2, having beaten his last opponent by first-round submission.
• The two fighters are 1-1 against each other, with Pinedo winning by third-round TKO in their most recent matchup for the title.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The match is part of the PFL tournament format, which could lead to increased motivation for both fighters to progress.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gabriel Alves Braga: 175, Jesus Pinedo: -215	Jesus Pinedo	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jesus Pinedo -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jesus Pinedo at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jesus Pinedo is favored to win based on his recent performances and the fact that he holds a title win over Braga.

Predicted Score: Jesus Pinedo to win by decision or TKO

Match Analysis: Joseph Luciano vs Sarek Shields – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

Joseph Luciano and Sarek Shields will face off in a welterweight alternate bout during the 2025 PFL World Tournament 5 Semifinals. Luciano, with a 10-3 record, is favored against Shields, who holds a 6-2 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Luciano has a more extensive experience, with 13 fights under his belt compared to Shields' 8. Luciano's opponents have generally been more experienced, which could be an advantage.
• This is the first time these fighters will meet, so there is no prior head-to-head data.
• No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
• The match is part of a high-stakes tournament, and both fighters will be highly motivated. However, Luciano's experience in larger tournaments might give him an edge.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but Luciano's experience in high-pressure situations could be a deciding factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Joseph Luciano: -290, Sarek Shields: 230	Joseph Luciano	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Joseph Luciano -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Joseph Luciano is predicted to win based on his experience and past performances.

Predicted Score: N/A

Match Analysis: Jason Danner vs Nathan Gilmore – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 13, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

Jason Danner, an undefeated fighter from Tennessee, faces off against Nathan Gilmore in a bantamweight bout during the PFL 2025 World Tournament Semifinals. This match is significant as it determines who will advance to the finals.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jason Danner is undefeated with a 2-0 record, while Nathan Gilmore has a 4-5 record. Danner's recent performance and undefeated status might give him an edge.
• There is no recorded head-to-head history between these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The match takes place in Nashville, which could favor Danner due to local support.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Danner's undefeated record might add pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jason Danner: -300, Nathan Gilmore: 240	Jason Danner	High

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jason Danner -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Jason Danner is likely to win due to his undefeated record and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Jason Danner

Match Analysis: Logan Storley vs Masayuki Kikuiri – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

Logan Storley vs. Masayuki Kikuiri is a Welterweight Semifinal match in the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Storley, a former Bellator Champion, faces Kikuiri, a strong contender from Japan.

Key Factors to Consider

• Logan Storley has a significant record, with 17 wins and 3 losses, while Masayuki Kikuiri has 11 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. Storley's experience and past success as a Bellator Champion could be a decisive factor.
• There is no reported head-to-head record between the two fighters.
• No current injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The match takes place in Nashville, Tennessee, which might favor Storley due to his North American experience.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with a desire to advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Logan Storley: -725, Masayuki Kikuiri: 525	Logan Storley	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Logan Storley -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Logan Storley at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Logan Storley is predicted to win due to his experience and past success.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Logan Storley

Match Analysis: Mukhamed Berkhamov vs Kendly St. Louis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville

Game Overview

Mukhamed Berkhamov, with a record of 17-3, faces Kendly St. Louis, who has a record of 10-4, in the PFL 2025 World Tournament Semifinals. Berkhamov is favored to win based on his impressive MMA background and performance statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

• Berkhamov has a higher win percentage and more experience in high-level competitions compared to St. Louis.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Berkhamov and St. Louis.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The event's location and environment may play a neutral role given both fighters' professional experience.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mukhamed Berkhamov: -260, Kendly St. Louis: 200	Mukhamed Berkhamov	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mukhamed Berkhamov -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mukhamed Berkhamov at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mukhamed Berkhamov is likely to win based on his superior record and performance history.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Mukhamed Berkhamov

Match Analysis: Alexei Pergande vs Mike Bardsley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

Alexei Pergande (5-0) faces Mike Bardsley (5-1) in a Featherweight Showcase Bout during the 2025 PFL World Tournament Semifinals. The match is a part of the preliminary card, with Pergande being the significant favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alexei Pergande is undefeated with a 5-0 record, indicating strong recent form. Mike Bardsley has a 5-1 record, showing potential but less consistency compared to Pergande.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The venue might favor neither fighter significantly, as both are from the USA.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to advance their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexei Pergande: -701, Mike Bardsley: 501	Alexei Pergande	High

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexei Pergande -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Alexei Pergande is expected to win due to his undefeated record and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Alexei Pergande via Decision or TKO