3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Oakland Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction	San Francisco Giants Win	-194	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction	Detroit Tigers Win	-136	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction	Philadelphia Phillies -1.5	114	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +463

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $112.55

Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 9:35 AM UTC
• Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Melbourne Storm is a clash between a historically dominant Melbourne Storm and a competitively improving Cowboys side. Melbourne Storm have a strong overall head-to-head record against the Cowboys and have been the more consistent team in recent years. The match is set to be played at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, where the Cowboys have shown strong home form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Melbourne Storm have won 33 out of 46 matches historically against the Cowboys, including 17 of 21 home matches and 7 of 9 matches at AAMI Park. Their recent form includes a decisive 38-14 victory over the Cowboys on June 6, 2025. The Cowboys have had some solid performances at home, winning 3 out of 4 matches at Queensland Country Bank Stadium against the Storm, showing resilience on their turf. Overall, Storm dominate in point scoring (1120 vs 835) across head-to-head games.
• The Melbourne Storm lead the historic head-to-head with 33 wins out of 46 matches vs the Cowboys' 13 wins since 1998. At Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the Cowboys lead 3-1 in recent matches, indicating stronger home advantage. Melbourne Storm have a longer winning streak (12 games) compared to the Cowboys' best streak of 3 against them.
• No specific injury information was provided in the available data for either team for this match, suggesting both teams may be close to full strength.
• Playing at home for the Cowboys generally boosts their performance, especially at Queensland Country Bank Stadium where they have won 3 of the last 4 matches against Melbourne Storm. Travel fatigue and scheduling could be minor factors but with a week gap from the last meeting, both teams should be physically prepared.
• Melbourne Storm will aim to maintain their dominance over the Cowboys, especially after a recent big win. The Cowboys have motivation to defend their home ground and respond after the recent heavy defeat. Both teams have strong competitive drive given the significance of this fixture in the 2025 NRL season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Melbourne Storm: -335, North Queensland Cowboys: 265, Draw: 2300	Melbourne Storm win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, North Queensland Cowboys +10.5: -115	Melbourne Storm to cover -10.5 points	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115	Over 49.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Melbourne Storm -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 49.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win this match owing to their dominant historical record, recent convincing victory, and overall stronger squad performance. However, the home advantage of the Cowboys could keep the scoreline competitive.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 North Queensland Cowboys

Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 7:30 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium Canberra, Canberra, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 18 NRL match features the Canberra Raiders hosting the St George Illawarra Dragons at GIO Stadium Canberra. The Raiders have home advantage and will look to leverage strong recent form and local support. The Dragons, traveling to Canberra, aim to overcome the odds as underdogs in this contest. Both teams have experienced mixed results this season, making the game an intriguing competitive fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have demonstrated solid performances at home in the 2025 season and have a more consistent win record compared to the Dragons. The Dragons have struggled on the road this season, which could impact their competitiveness in this match.
• Recent head-to-head meetings favor the Canberra Raiders, who have won a majority of the recent encounters against the Dragons, especially at home. This history provides Canberra a psychological edge.
• Latest injury reports suggest minor setbacks for both teams but no major absences that could drastically alter team dynamics. However, close attention to final team sheets is recommended closer to kick-off.
• Home crowd support at GIO Stadium and familiarity with local conditions benefit Canberra. Weather forecasts predict typical Canberra winter conditions, unlikely to greatly disrupt play.
• Canberra Raiders have strong motivation to consolidate their position in the league rankings before finals, while the Dragons aim to improve their season standing. The Raiders' home advantage likely adds an extra motivational boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -360, away: 270, draw: 2500	Canberra Raiders win	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	home: -11.5 -115, away: 11.5 -115	Canberra Raiders to cover the -11.5 spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: 46.5 -145, under: 46.5 110	Under 46.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 46.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Taking into account home advantage, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, Canberra Raiders are favored to secure a win against St George Illawarra Dragons with a confident margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 St George Illawarra Dragons

Match Analysis: LA Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Dignity Health Sports Park

Game Overview

The Major League Soccer match between LA Galaxy and Vancouver Whitecaps FC features two fairly matched teams with a competitive history. LA Galaxy has a slight edge at home, while Vancouver performs well on the road. Both teams have shown an ability to score goals, with an average of 2.84 goals in their direct encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

• LA Galaxy has won 17 of the 37 direct matches, scoring an average of 1.03 goals per game this season and showing strong defensive solidity with the most clean sheets in the competition (8). Vancouver Whitecaps have won 13 matches and average 1.75 goals scored per match, demonstrating a more offensive style especially away from home.
• Historically, LA Galaxy leads slightly with 17 wins to Vancouver's 13 and 7 draws. Their games average 2.84 goals, with 53.1% of games going over 2.5 goals. Recent results show no draws in the last 5 encounters.
• No specific injury information available from current data sources.
• Playing at home at Dignity Health Sports Park benefits LA Galaxy, who have an 80% rate of matches with over 1.5 goals at home. The crowd support and familiar conditions should motivate LA Galaxy.
• Both teams will be motivated to secure points in the mid-season MLS context. LA Galaxy aims to capitalize on home advantage, whereas Vancouver Whitecaps will look to continue their solid away scoring record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	LA Galaxy: 160, Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 155, Draw: 265	LA Galaxy win	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	LA Galaxy: 0 -110, Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 0 -110	LA Galaxy to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: 100	Over 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	LA Galaxy 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: LA Galaxy at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match is expected, with a slight home advantage for LA Galaxy. The match is likely to have multiple goals given both teams' offensive records and previous high-scoring encounters.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: DICK'S Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado

Game Overview

The MLS match between Colorado Rapids and Sporting Kansas City is a Western Conference clash taking place on Independence Day at DICK'S Sporting Goods Park. Colorado Rapids, eighth in the conference, aim to defend their home turf after a recent 3-3 draw with New England Revolution. Sporting Kansas City, currently 12th, are looking for their first win at this venue since 2014, coming off a late 2-1 win over Charlotte FC and a draw with Real Salt Lake under interim coach Kerry Zavagnin. The rivalry is historic and competitive, with recent encounters split between the two teams.

Key Factors to Consider

• Colorado Rapids have seven wins this season and show strength at home, holding a perfect record against SKC on July 4th matches historically. Sporting Kansas City have struggled on the road but have shown recent resilience and improvement, earning points from five of their last eight MLS matches.
• Sporting KC historically has an advantage over Colorado Rapids overall but has failed to win at DICK'S Sporting Goods Park since 2014. The teams split their last two meetings in 2024, each securing a win in tightly contested matches.
• No specific injury updates are reported in the current data, suggesting both teams may field near-full squads.
• The match is played at high altitude in Colorado, which traditionally benefits the Rapids. The home crowd and occasion of a July 4th fixture add to the intensity and motivation for the Rapids.
• Colorado Rapids are motivated to maintain dominance at home on this national holiday and improve their standing. Sporting Kansas City’s motivation stems from breaking their long away win drought at this venue and building momentum under their interim coach.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Colorado Rapids: -110, Sporting Kansas City: 260, Draw: 295	Colorado Rapids win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Colorado Rapids -0.5: -108, Sporting Kansas City +50: -112	Colorado Rapids cover -0.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 3: -112, Under 3: -108	Under 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Colorado Rapids 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Colorado Rapids are favored to win this match due to home advantage, historical July 4th success, and Sporting Kansas City’s away struggles. A closely contested game is likely, but Rapids’ defense and midfield control could be decisive.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 12:45 AM UTC
• Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX

Game Overview

This MLS Western Conference matchup features FC Dallas hosting Minnesota United FC at Toyota Stadium. Both teams have shown competitive form with FC Dallas scoring 11 goals and Minnesota United 10 in their last 5 matches. The match coincides with the U.S. Independence Day period, adding patriotic motivation and intensity to the fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

• FC Dallas has alternated between wins and losses recently, with notable results including a 2-3 loss to San Diego FC and a 4-2 win over Sporting Kansas City. Minnesota United is similarly competitive, creating numerous big chances led by Joaquin Pereyra and maintaining a solid offensive threat with Tani Oluwaseyi averaging 1.5 shots on target per match.
• The historical head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with FC Dallas and Minnesota United each having 7 wins and 7 draws in their previous 21 encounters, indicating a closely matched rivalry.
• FC Dallas faces key absences including Anderson Julio (leg injury), Osaze Urhoghide (hip injury), and Paxton Pomykal (bruised knee) with recoveries expected by mid to late July, potentially impacting squad depth and on-field chemistry.
• The match falls on July 4th, a day of national celebration in the U.S., likely boosting team and fan motivation, especially as Minnesota United’s schedule indicates national TV exposure increasing stakes. Weather and pitch conditions at Toyota Stadium are expected to be typical summer conditions in Texas, favoring the home side's familiarity.
• With the match being nationally televised and part of a themed Independence Day weekend, both teams have strong incentives to perform well. Home advantage combined with FC Dallas’ recent offensive form could be key, while Minnesota United’s balanced attack and chance creation present a significant challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	FC Dallas: 175, Minnesota United FC: 145, Draw: 255	Draw or Minnesota United FC win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	FC Dallas: 105, Minnesota United FC: -125, spread: 0	Minnesota United FC to cover the spread (0)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: 105	Over 2.75 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Minnesota United FC 8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the close head-to-head history, balanced recent form, but factoring FC Dallas’ key injuries and home advantage, the match is expected to be tight with a slight edge to FC Dallas for a narrow victory or draw.

Predicted Score: 2-2