Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-31
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Unknown (likely McMahon Stadium if Calgary is home, or Ottawaβs home stadium if Ottawa is home; match details do not explicitly state venue)
Game Overview
The Ottawa Redblacks and Calgary Stampeders match is a closely contested CFL game. Ottawa won the previous meeting 20-12 on June 21, 2025, in difficult weather conditions at McMahon Stadium, overcoming Calgary with strong complementary football and an efficient performance by quarterback Dustin Crum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ottawa recently secured their first 2025 season win against Calgary, showing resilience in bad weather and an effective rushing attack. Calgary struggled defensively in that game but remains a strong team based on season performances, including a 37-16 win over Winnipeg and a 24-10 victory over Saskatchewan.
- In the recent encounter on June 21, 2025, Ottawa defeated Calgary 20-12, marking a significant morale boost for the Redblacks. Historical matchups favor Calgary overall, but recent form points to Ottawa being competitive.
- No specific injury reports are available from the current data, suggesting both teams likely have their core players available.
- Weather conditions may be influential as prior games showed Ottawa performing well in adverse weather. The match being later in the season could affect team motivation and strategies.
- Ottawa aims to build on their recent victory against Calgary, while Calgary looks to avenge their loss and establish dominance in the CFL standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders: -196, Ottawa Redblacks: 162 | Calgary Stampeders win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Calgary Stampeders: -4.5 -105, Ottawa Redblacks: 4.5 -115 | Calgary Stampeders to cover the -4.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 | Under 52.5 total points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders -17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 52.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Stampeders are favored to win due to better odds and overall season performance; however, Ottawaβs confidence from their recent win against Calgary suggests a competitive game. Expect Calgary to win by a margin close to the spread.
Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 27 – Ottawa Redblacks 20