Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-29
• Time: 10:40 PM UTC
• Location: Comerica Park, Detroit

Game Overview

Detroit Tigers (62-46) host struggling Arizona Diamondbacks (51-56) with starting pitchers Casey Mize for Detroit and Brandon Pfaadt for Arizona. Tigers have home advantage and better recent pitching, while Diamondbacks have offensive struggles in last games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tigers are 0-5 in last 5 games but have strong home record at 34-21, whereas Diamondbacks have been poor on the road with 25-28 and limited scoring recently, only 2 runs in last 4 games.
• Tigers won the opening game of this series at home, building momentum over Diamondbacks, who have shown less consistency in head-to-head matchups this season.
• No major injury updates affecting starting pitchers; both Mize and Pfaadt expected to start without restrictions.
• Game played at Comerica Park with typical stable weather; no significant external disruption or factors affecting play.
• Detroit Tigers are motivated to maintain playoff positioning, coming off a win after a rough patch; Diamondbacks appear demoralized with recent offensive struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Detroit Tigers -136, Arizona Diamondbacks +123	Detroit Tigers	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Detroit Tigers -1.5 +145, Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -165	Detroit Tigers -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 8.5 -116, Under 8.5 -104	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Detroit Tigers 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Tigers to win outright (Moneyline); Detroit Tigers -1.5 on Spread; Total Runs Under 8.5

Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Arizona Diamondbacks 3

Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-29
• Time: 10:40 PM UTC
• Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cleveland Guardians (52-54) host the struggling Colorado Rockies (28-78) with both teams aiming to gain momentum. Guardians' starting pitcher Logan Allen (6-9, 4.16 ERA) faces Rockies' Tanner Gordon (2-2, 3.13 ERA). Despite Cleveland's below-average offensive metrics and mixed recent form, they retain home advantage and better overall team quality.

Key Factors to Consider

• Guardians rank 28th in slugging (.373) and on-base percentage (.299), showing offensive struggles. Rockies have worst ERA (5.61) and strikeouts (697) in MLB, reflecting poor pitching staff performance.
• Recent series have favored Rockies slightly, winning 3 of last 4 meetings. However, the all-time last ten meetings are evenly split (5-5).
• No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key players for either team.
• Home field advantage at Progressive Field benefits Guardians. No weather issues reported.
• Guardians, with above .500 home record, likely motivated to capitalize at home and improve to near .500 overall. Rockies, with worst record MLB-wide, are motivated to upset but face consistency issues.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cleveland Guardians -215, Colorado Rockies +193	Cleveland Guardians	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (-115), Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-105)	Cleveland Guardians -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 8.5 (-113), Under 8.5 (-107)	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cleveland Guardians -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Guardians to win moneyline, Guardians to cover -1.5 spread, Under 8.5 runs

Predicted Score: Cleveland Guardians 5 – 3 Colorado Rockies

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-29
• Time: 10:36 PM UTC
• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Game Overview

The Baltimore Orioles face the Toronto Blue Jays in Baltimore for the second game of their series. Baltimore, with a 48-58 record, has gained momentum with three consecutive wins, including an 11-4 victory over Toronto. Toronto, standing at 63-44, enters after two straight losses following an 8-1 hot streak. Baltimore’s Charlie Morton starts pitching while Toronto's starter is currently undisclosed.

Key Factors to Consider

• Baltimore has surged recently, tallying 34 runs in the past three games and winning three straight. Toronto has lost two straight games, allowing 21 runs combined, but had been dominant before that with an 8-1 record. Overall, Toronto holds the better season record and is stronger against the run line historically.
• Recent head-to-head trends favor Toronto covering the spread 4-1 in their last 5 versus Baltimore. Baltimore is only 1-4 ATS in last 5 meetings. However, Baltimore won the last meeting convincingly 11-4.
• No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups or pitching staffs for either team noted just prior to the game.
• Game played at Baltimore's Camden Yards, a moderately hitter-friendly park. Weather and other conditions are standard for late July, no extreme external factors reported.
• Baltimore plays with motivation to maintain momentum and improve a losing season; Toronto seeks to stop a brief skid to stay on pace in a playoff push.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baltimore Orioles: -102, Toronto Blue Jays: -116	Baltimore Orioles	★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread	Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-170), Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (140)	Baltimore Orioles -1.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 10 (-105), Under 10 (-115)	Over 10	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baltimore Orioles 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Baltimore Orioles moneyline for value with confidence the momentum and home pitching will overcome Toronto's favored status.

Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 6, Toronto Blue Jays 4

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – July 29, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction	Chicago White Sox	166	25%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction	Under 8.5	-105	17%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction	Under 8.5	-107	16%

Combined Odds: +905 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $200.94

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction	Los Angeles Dodgers Win	-148	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction	San Francisco Giants Win	-156	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction	Cleveland Guardians Win	-215	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +303

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $80.58