Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-25
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: McMahon Stadium
Game Overview
The Calgary Stampeders host the Montreal Alouettes in a pivotal CFL Week 8 matchup. Calgary enters with a strong 5-1 record, excelling defensively by allowing only 18.5 points per game. Montreal, with a 4-2 record, faces offensive challenges due to key injuries. Calgary’s recent form and defensive pressure are expected to control the game tempo.
Key Factors to Consider
- Calgary leads with 5-1 straight up and against the spread; Montreal stands at 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Calgary's defense is top-tier, limiting opponents effectively, while Montreal’s offense is impacted by injuries.
- Recent head-to-head favors Calgary who have shown they can cover spreads and produce consistent wins over Montreal.
- Montreal’s offensive capabilities are impaired notably by the injury to Alexander, reducing their effectiveness in scoring and quarterback protection.
- Game played at Calgary’s home venue, McMahon Stadium, giving the Stampeders a home-field advantage with supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
- Calgary aims to extend their dominance and improve to 6-1, maintaining momentum for playoffs. Montreal looks to overcome setbacks and remain competitive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary -250, Montreal +202 | Calgary Stampeders | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Calgary -5.5 (-115), Montreal +5.5 (-105) | Calgary Stampeders -5.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Stampeders to win outright and cover the spread; expect a solid defensive game with the total staying under the line.
Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Montreal Alouettes 20