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Ryan Spann vs. Lukasz Brzeski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ryan Spann vs Lukasz Brzeski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Game Overview

This matchup features Ryan Spann, a favorite at -238, against Lukasz Brzeski, who is priced at +195. The bout is part of UFC 318.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ryan Spann has a record of 22-11-0, while Lukasz Brzeski is 9-6-1 (1 NC). Recently, Brzeski has lost five of his last six fights.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are fully focused on the bout with no external factors affecting their performance.
  • Ryan Spann is highly motivated to maintain his winning record, while Lukasz Brzeski seeks to break his losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ryan Spann: -238, Lukasz Brzeski: +195 Ryan Spann ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Ryan Spann: -3.5 -230, Lukasz Brzeski: +3.5 165 Ryan Spann ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5: 140, Under 1.5: -180 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ryan Spann 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ryan Spann at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Spann to win by knockout.

Predicted Score: Ryan Spann wins by knockout.


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Kyler Phillips vs. Vinicius Oliveira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: New Orleans

Game Overview

Kyler Phillips vs. Vinicius Oliveira is a bantamweight bout at UFC 318. Both fighters have impressive records, with Phillips recently losing to Rob Font and Oliveira coming off a win over Said Nurmagomedov.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kyler Phillips is known for his versatile fighting style, including diverse striking and grappling capabilities. Vinicius Oliveira excels in both striking and ground fighting, with a high accuracy of 54% in striking.
  • No past head-to-head matches.
  • No reported major injuries for either fighter.
  • Motivation could be a factor, as both fighters are looking to move up the rankings.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, which could lead to a competitive bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kyler Phillips: +124, Vinicius Oliveira: -148 Vinicius Oliveira ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Kyler Phillips: +3.5 -180, Vinicius Oliveira: -3.5 130 Kyler Phillips +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under over: 2.5 -195, under: 2.5 150 Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vinicius Oliveira 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vinicius Oliveira is favored due to his recent success and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Vinicius Oliveira


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Eumir Marcial vs. Bernard Joseph Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Eumir Marcial vs Bernard Joseph – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Eumir Marcial, a Tokyo Olympic bronze medalist with an unbeaten 5-0 professional record, faces Bernard Joseph, a more experienced 35-year-old puncher with an 11-2-1 record. This fight serves as an important stepping stone for Marcial, who aims for a 160-pound world title next year under Manny Pacquiao's tutelage. Joseph was a late replacement after the original opponent withdrew due to injury.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcial’s undefeated streak at 5-0 with 3 KOs contrasts Joseph’s 11-2-1 but aged 35 and considered less sharp. Marcial’s recent form is strong despite a long gap since his last pro fight in March last year. Joseph’s experience is noted but lacks recent big wins against top contenders.
  • No direct prior encounters between Marcial and Joseph exist, making this their first meeting. Limited footage suggests Marcial’s southpaw style and power could be superior.
  • No reported injuries for Marcial. Joseph replaced original opponent Alexis Gaytan due to undisclosed injury; no injuries reported for Joseph.
  • Marcial has strong backing including training oversight by Pacquiao and MP Promotions team focused on progressing him to a world title. Fight on Pacquiao-Barrios undercard offers additional motivation. Joseph is the late substitute, possibly affecting preparation quality.
  • Marcial highly motivated to impress and move closer to a world title opportunity next year. Pacquiao’s personal involvement adds to his drive. Joseph motivated but lacks similar external pressures and incentives.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcial -3300, Joseph +1200 Eumir Marcial ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Marcial -3.5 rounds Marcial by more than 3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 6.5 rounds – Odds unavailable, estimated Under 6.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eumir Marcial -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Eumir Marcial at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eumir Marcial to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Eumir Marcial wins by 5th round KO


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Gary Russell Jr. vs. Hugo Castaneda Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gary Russell Jr. vs Hugo Castaneda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 19, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Gary Russell Jr., a highly favored boxer, faces Hugo Castaneda in a super featherweight bout. Russell Jr. is known for his strong boxing skills and lengthy career, while Castaneda presents a less experienced but still formidable opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gary Russell Jr. has a strong boxing record and is generally considered the superior fighter. Castaneda, though less experienced, may offer some resistance due to his potential to catch Russell Jr. off guard with aggression.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between these two fighters, which could affect the dynamics of the fight.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place at MGM Grand, Las Vegas, which could influence the fighters due to its high-profile nature.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Russell Jr. may have more pressure due to being the heavy favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gary Russell Jr.: -1600, Hugo Castaneda: 750 Gary Russell Jr. ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gary Russell Jr. -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gary Russell Jr. at -15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gary Russell Jr. is likely to win by decision or knockout due to his superior skills and experience.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction applicable for boxing matches.


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Brandon Figueroa vs. Joet Gonzalez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brandon Figueroa vs Joet Gonzalez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TBA

Game Overview

Top-10 bantamweight contenders Brandon Figueroa and Joet Gonzalez face off in a high-stakes bout with world title implications. Figueroa, the younger, taller, and heavier-handed fighter, is the marginal favorite against the durable, technically sound journeyman Gonzalez. Both fighters are ranked in multiple sanctioning bodies, making this a pivotal fight for their careers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Figueroa (25-2-1, 19 KOs) boasts superior power (76% KO rate vs. Gonzalez's 56%) and a relentlessly high output, but with less pro experience and a higher activity level. Gonzalez (27-4, 15 KOs) is more seasoned, with deeper rounds in the pros, but lacks Figueroa's dynamism and knockout pop[3].
  • No direct head-to-head history. Figueroa is ranked higher across sanctioning bodies, suggesting official recognition as the superior current form[3].
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Standard neutral venue expected. Both fighters are orthodox, with Figueroa holding a 2-inch height/reach advantage, which could be significant in a close distance battle[3].
  • High for both: Figueroa seeks to re-establish himself in the world title picture, while Gonzalez aims for a career-defining upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Figueroa -235 / Gonzalez +195 Brandon Figueroa wins ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 10.5 -375 / Under 10.5 +275 Over 10.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brandon Figueroa -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brandon Figueroa wins a competitive, high-paced decision, leveraging his volume, work rate, and physical advantages to outpoint Gonzalez. A KO is possible but less likely given Gonzalez’s durability and Figueroa’s recent tendency to go the distance.

Predicted Score: Brandon Figueroa by unanimous decision (UD)


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Francisco Prado vs. Nikolay Veretennikov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Prelims, UFC 318

Game Overview

Francisco Prado (Argentina) vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Kazakhstan) is a crucial welterweight matchup for both fighters, with Prado looking to rebound and Veretennikov aiming to leverage his striking pedigree against a younger opponent with diverse finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Prado is a well-rounded prospect (6 KO, 6 SUB) from a top MMA gym, showing aggression and grappling acumen. Veretennikov is a powerful striker (9 KO in 18 fights, 56% striking accuracy) with strong takedown defense, but was exposed on the ground in his most recent outing[1][2].
  • No prior meetings.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Prado’s camp is known for strategic gameplans; Veretennikov’s comfort zone is the standup, but his ground vulnerability is a clear exploitable weakness[2].
  • High for both—loser faces potential UFC exit. Prado’s team likely builds fight around his grappling edge, while Veretennikov must keep it standing to maximize his power[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Prado -142 / Veretennikov 120 Francisco Prado ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Prado -3.5 120 / Veretennikov 3.5 -165 Francisco Prado -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -166 / Under 2.5 130 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Francisco Prado 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Francisco Prado wins by submission, exploiting Veretennikov’s defensive grappling gap after early striking exchanges.

Predicted Score: Francisco Prado by Submission, Round 2


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Carli Judice vs. Nicolle Caliari Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carli Judice vs Nicolle Caliari – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 19, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Game Overview

Carli Judice, a 26-year-old southpaw with a 4-2-0 record, faces Nicolle Caliari, a 28-year-old orthodox fighter with an 8-3-0 record, in a flyweight bout at UFC 318.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Judice has a higher strike rate, connecting on 11.18 significant strikes per minute at a 53% success rate, while Caliari connects on 3.85 at 41%. Judice also absorbs more strikes, taking 10.01 per minute, compared to Caliari's 5.57.
  • No past head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight's setting and crowd support may favor Judice slightly given her home-continent advantage.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Judice's recent performance statistics suggest a stronger competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -340 Carli Judice ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -3.5 -135 Carli Judice ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under 2.5 Over ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carli Judice -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Carli Judice at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carli Judice to win by decision

Predicted Score: Decision win for Judice in Round 3


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Isaac Cruz vs. Angel Fierro Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Isaac Cruz vs Angel Fierro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand, Las Vegas, United States

Game Overview

Isaac Cruz is heavily favored against Angel Fierro, primarily due to his aggressive fighting style and significant experience in big fights. However, Fierro's power and physical advantages could pose challenges.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Isaac Cruz has a record of 27 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw with 18 knockouts. Angel Fierro has 23 wins, 3 losses, with 18 knockouts. Cruz is the more experienced fighter and ranks higher in the division.
  • Given their previous matchup, Cruz's style is difficult for Fierro to counter. However, Fierro's power could lead to a late-round surge.
  • No significant recent injuries mentioned for either fighter.
  • The fight is at a neutral venue, so neither fighter has a home advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Cruz's higher ranking and experience might give him an edge mentally.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Isaac Cruz: -455, Angel Fierro: 330 Isaac Cruz ★★★★☆ 79%
Over/under Over 10.5: -250, Under 10.5: +200 Over 10.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Isaac Cruz -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Isaac Cruz at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Isaac Cruz to win the fight.

Predicted Score: Not applicable


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Brunno Ferreira vs. Jackson McVey Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA

Game Overview

A highly anticipated matchup at UFC 318 as Brunno Ferreira faces newcomer Jackson McVey, with Ferreira being the heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ferreira has an impressive record of 13-2-0 and is known for his aggressive style, while McVey is a newcomer with no UFC experience.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The crowd might not significantly impact the fighters given their contrasting levels of experience.
  • Ferreira is likely motivated by the opportunity to prove himself against a new opponent, while McVey seeks to make an impactful debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brunno Ferreira: -550, Jackson McVey: +410 Brunno Ferreira ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Brunno Ferreira: -3.5 -700, Jackson McVey: 3.5 +400 Brunno Ferreira ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 1.5: +195, Under 1.5: -260 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brunno Ferreira -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brunno Ferreira by knockout is the highest expected value play.

Predicted Score: Ferreira by knockout in Round 1.


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Mark Magsayo vs. Jorge Mata Cuellar Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mark Magsayo vs Jorge Mata Cuellar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand, Las Vegas, United States

Game Overview

Mark Magsayo is a clear favorite against Jorge Mata Cuellar in this 10-round Super Featherweight bout, based on market odds and recent form. Magsayo brings powerful striking and agility, while Cuellar offers a robust defense and strategic counter-punching.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magsayo has demonstrated superior offensive skills and knockout potential, maintaining an 83-84% win probability in bookmakers' eyes. Cuellar is more defensive and tactical but has less recent success against top opponents.
  • No direct previous H2H recorded, but odds strongly favor Magsayo due to his track record and stylistic advantages.
  • No reported injuries on either side, suggesting both fighters will be at full physical capacity.
  • Fight at MGM Grand, known for high-profile events, likely motivates top performance. Both fighters expected to make weight successfully for the 135 lbs limit.
  • Magsayo motivated to maintain dominance and possibly reclaim or retain title contention. Cuellar motivated to upset and gain recognition, but as underdog this adds pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mark Magsayo: -800, Jorge Mata Cuellar: 500 Mark Magsayo ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Mark Magsayo -2.5 rounds: -120, Jorge Mata Cuellar +2.5 rounds: +100 Mark Magsayo -2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 76%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -200, Under 8.5 rounds: 153 Under 8.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mark Magsayo -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 72%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark Magsayo to win by knockout or decision under 9 rounds

Predicted Score: Magsayo wins by KO or decision before the 9th round


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