Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cronulla, New South Wales, Australia

Game Overview

The match between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and the Sydney Roosters is a key NRL fixture, with both teams looking to strengthen their standings mid-season. The Sharks play at home, giving them a slight edge, while the Roosters are coming off recent challenges related to player availability due to State of Origin commitments.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have shown more consistent form recently, benefitting from fewer key player absences, whereas the Sydney Roosters have been impacted by State of Origin call-ups which have weakened their squad depth and performance.
  • Historically, matches between these two sides are tightly contested, but the Sharks have edged slightly ahead in recent encounters, including a home advantage that boosts their chances.
  • The Roosters are notably affected by several Origin call-ups, reducing their top-tier player availability and weakening key positions; the Sharks report a relatively healthy roster with no major absences.
  • Playing at home in favorable weather and venue conditions benefits the Sharks. The Roosters additionally face travel fatigue and team cohesion challenges following recent representative fixtures.
  • The Sharks are motivated to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win and improve league position, while the Roosters aim to overcome adversity but are under increased pressure to regain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -148, Sydney Roosters: 128, Draw: 2100 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +3.5: -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win outright, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total score to go over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 – 18 Sydney Roosters


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