Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-17
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville SC Home Stadium

Game Overview

Nashville SC hosts Columbus Crew in a tightly contested MLS matchup where both sides have shown solid offensive and defensive traits. Nashville SC ranks 7th in goals scored (38) and 6th in goals conceded (25), while Columbus Crew also has 38 goals scored but concedes more at 29 goals.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nashville SC shows strong offensive output led by Hany Mukhtar and Sam Surridge, with 25 goals conceded indicating a solid defense. Columbus Crew has matched Nashville's scoring but is slightly weaker defensively allowing 29 goals.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but historical trends and statistical parity suggest a competitive matchup with low scoring variance between teams.
• No significant injury reports impacting key offensive or defensive players for either side at this time.
• Game played at Nashville SC's home ground where they have an advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal, no external disruptions.
• Both teams are mid-season motivated to gain important points; Nashville SC aims to capitalize on home advantage while Columbus Crew seeks an upset on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nashville SC: 110, Columbus Crew SC: 235, Draw: 270	Nashville SC	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Nashville SC -0.25 (-122), Columbus Crew +25 (102)	Nashville SC -0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.75 (-120), Under 2.75 (100)	Under 2.75	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nashville SC 9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC to win is the highest value play considering home advantage, stronger defense, and slightly better goal conversion.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Nashville SC

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-17
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP hosts Sao Paulo in a competitive Brazil Campeonato fixture where both teams have shown mixed recent form. Bragantino currently ranks higher and has a slight home advantage, while Sao Paulo struggles for consistency this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bragantino holds 3rd place with solid recent performances including a 1-0 home win against Sao Paulo. Sao Paulo is struggling near the 14th position with less consistent results.
• Historically, in last 30 matches Bragantino has 10 wins, Sao Paulo 14 wins, with 6 draws. However, recent encounters favor Bragantino with a 1-0 win and several draws, showing a tight contest.
• No critical injury updates reported for either team affecting starting lineups significantly.
• Match played at Bragantino's home ground with modest capacity, possibly giving home advantage. No adverse weather or external disruptions noted.
• Bragantino motivated to maintain top league position and capitalize on home advantage, whereas Sao Paulo aims to improve poor league standing and avoid relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bragantino 1.30, Sao Paulo 2.42, Draw 2.10	Bragantino	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Bragantino -0.25 (-107), Sao Paulo +25 (-113)	Bragantino -0.25	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2 goals (-121), Under 2 goals (+101)	Under 2 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bragantino-SP 38%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino to win in a low-scoring tight match.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-17
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Botafogo Home Stadium

Game Overview

Botafogo and Vitoria face off in the Brazilian Campeonato with Botafogo hosting. Botafogo enters the match favored by bookmakers with a strong home record, while Vitoria has struggled recently with no wins in their last six matches. Both teams have a history of relatively low-scoring matches and some competitive head-to-head battles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Botafogo has shown better recent form with 4 wins, 2 losses, and no draws in their last 6 matches, scoring on average 1.17 goals per game. Vitoria has failed to win in their last 6 and scored only 0.17 goals per game, indicating offensive issues.
• The historical matchup between Botafogo and Vitoria is fairly balanced with Botafogo winning 40% of their last 30 games, Vitoria 33%, and 27% draws. However, recent matches favor Botafogo's strength at home.
• No explicit injury information is available from the search results; assume no major absences affecting starting lineups significantly.
• No significant external factors such as weather or venue changes noted. The match is played at Botafogo's home venue, providing a home advantage.
• Botafogo is motivated to maintain strong home form in the league, while Vitoria looks to end a poor streak. Botafogo's better recent results suggest higher motivation and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Botafogo: -195, Vitoria: 575, Draw: 320	Botafogo	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Botafogo: -1 -112, Vitoria: +1 -108	Botafogo -1	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105	Under 2.25	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Botafogo -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 goal spread, with a low-scoring game under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0