Match Analysis: Juventude vs Sport Recife – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-14
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Brazil
Game Overview
The matchup between Juventude and Sport Recife promises to be a closely contested affair, with both teams having shown mixed recent form. Juventude's home advantage and moderate recent performance suggest a slight edge, while Sport Recife's results in recent games indicate resilience on the road. Head-to-head statistics favor Juventude slightly more, but Sport Recife has shown competitiveness in their past encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juventude has won 2, drawn 2, and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, while Sport Recife has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1 in the same period. This suggests Sport Recife might have an edge in recent form.
- Juventude has 2 wins, 1 draw, and Sport Recife has 1 win in their last 4 meetings, giving Juventude a slight historical advantage.
- Current injury reports are not detailed, but generally, both teams seem to be without major absences.
- Home advantage often plays a significant role in soccer, potentially favoring Juventude.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Juventude might have a slight edge due to home support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juventude: 130, Sport Recife: 220, Draw: 225 | Juventude | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Juventude: -0.25 -102, Sport Recife: 25 -118 | Juventude -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 102, Under: 2.25 -122 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juventude 27% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Juventude at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventude to win
Predicted Score: 1-0