Match Analysis: David Morrell vs Imam Khatev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: To Be Announced

Game Overview

David Morrell and Imam Khatev face off in a highly anticipated light heavyweight bout. Morrell, a slightly younger southpaw with greater reach and more professional experience, goes up against the undefeated orthodox Khatev known for his powerful knockout ability.

Key Factors to Consider

• Morrell holds an 11-1 record with 9 KOs, while Khatev is unbeaten at 10-0 with 9 KOs, indicating both have strong power but Morrell has more fight experience and rounds logged.
• This is their first professional meeting with no direct head-to-head history.
• No reported injury concerns for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• The fight venue and conditions remain unspecified, but both fighters appear in good condition with rankings indicating a high-stakes contest.
• Morrell’s higher rankings across WBA, WBC, WBO, and The Ring and his experience suggest strong motivation to maintain elite status, whereas Khatev’s undefeated record fuels his motivation to prove himself against a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	David Morrell: -650, Imam Khatev: 425, Draw: 1800	David Morrell	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Morrell -2.5 rounds: -120, Khatev +2.5 rounds: +100	Morrell -2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: 1.80, Under 7.5 rounds: 2.00	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	David Morrell -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: David Morrell at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David Morrell to win via knockout

Predicted Score: David Morrell wins by KO in round 6

Match Analysis: Erik Badillo vs Gerardo Zapata – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno, California, USA

Game Overview

This WBC light flyweight title eliminator features unbeaten Erik Badillo (17-0, 8 KOs) facing Gerardo Zapata (15-2-1, 5 KOs). Badillo is the WBC #2 ranked contender and favored in the matchup, while Zapata is ranked #8. The bout is scheduled for 12 rounds with the winner becoming the mandatory challenger for the WBC light flyweight title.

Key Factors to Consider

• Badillo remains undefeated and has shown strong recent form with a high KO ratio (8 KOs in 17 fights). Zapata has two losses and one draw with fewer knockouts, indicating slightly less finishing power.
• No prior head-to-head matchups between Badillo and Zapata, making this a first-time encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight location in Fresno, CA provides neutral ground without a strong hometown advantage; both fighters highly motivated given the title eliminator stakes.
• Both fighters highly motivated, but Badillo’s undefeated record and higher ranking suggest extra pressure and focus to maintain unbeaten status and secure a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Erik Badillo: -700, Gerardo Zapata: +450	Erik Badillo	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Badillo -1.5 rounds: -150, Zapata +1.5 rounds: +130	Badillo -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Erik Badillo -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Erik Badillo at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erik Badillo to win on the moneyline given his undefeated status, higher WBC ranking, and superior recent performance.

Predicted Score: Badillo wins by unanimous decision or late-round stoppage around Round 10