Top EV Parlay for Baseball – July 13, 2025

Combined Odds: +616 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $143.15

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +754

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $170.77

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +253

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $70.59

Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 8:15 AM UTC
• Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos are favored to win against the Gold Coast Titans, reflecting their recent form and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brisbane Broncos have shown stronger recent form compared to the Gold Coast Titans.
• Brisbane Broncos historically have a good record against the Gold Coast Titans.
• No specific injury updates provided for this matchup.
• No external factors mentioned that could significantly impact the game.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Brisbane Broncos have more to gain in terms of standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win outright.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28, Gold Coast Titans 18

Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 6:05 AM UTC
• Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A high-stakes Western Sydney derby between Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers, featuring contrasting bookmaker and statistical model views. Panthers enter as strong favorites, but recent form, home advantage, and derby dynamics suggest a tighter contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penrith Panthers have been dominant recently, winning their last three matches against Parramatta by narrow margins (1-12 points). Parramatta have a solid home record with 4 wins in 8 games at CommBank Stadium this season, often keeping games close and low scoring.
• Penrith has a clear edge with recent winning streaks over Parramatta, but margins have been slim. Derby games historically tend to defy form, with both sides capable of grinding out results.
• No major injuries reported that drastically affect key players from either team, suggesting both sides can field near full-strength lineups.
• Derby intensity and local rivalry increase unpredictability. Home crowd support for Parramatta is a significant factor, likely boosting their motivation and performance.
• Parramatta eager to prove themselves against the top-ranked Panthers and capitalize on home advantage. Penrith motivated to maintain dominance and secure premiership points.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to narrowly win with a defensive, low-scoring game outcome, but Parramatta Eels represent strong value against the spread due to bookmaker overestimation of Panthers' margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Parramatta Eels 16

Match Analysis: Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The UFC heavyweight main event features veteran Derrick Lewis facing undefeated rising star Tallison Teixeira. Teixeira enters as the clear betting favorite based on youth, reach, and finishing ability, while Lewis is considered past his prime but retains significant knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lewis has 2 wins in his last 6 fights, both by KO/TKO, showing decreased consistency, while Teixeira is undefeated (8-0) with multiple fast finishes, indicating strong form and momentum.
• No prior head-to-head matchups between Lewis and Teixeira; this will be their first encounter.
• No reported significant injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
• The fight takes place at a home event for Lewis in Nashville, possibly giving him crowd support, but Teixeira's physical advantages may neutralize this.
• Teixeira motivated to maintain undefeated record and climb heavyweight rankings; Lewis motivated by veteran status and knockout legacy, aiming for a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Tallison Teixeira by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Teixeira wins by 1st-round KO

Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: July 13, 2025
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: GO Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

This match pits two teams fighting for momentum in the NRL season. The Warriors have home advantage, but both teams have shown inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Warriors have a marginal edge in attack at home, while both teams struggle defensively under pressure.
• Historically, the Warriors have a slight advantage, but recent form suggests a close contest.
• No significant injury updates that would drastically influence the outcome.
• The Warriors' home crowd could provide a decisive advantage.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their season standings, but the Tigers have less to lose.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to win, but the game could be close. The spread and over/under markets offer more value.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 20, Wests Tigers 16

Match Analysis: Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 3:15 AM UTC
• Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

Stephen Thompson, a seasoned welterweight veteran and former title challenger, faces rising prospect Gabriel Bonfim. Thompson brings experience and a resilient fighting style, while Bonfim is an aggressive young contender with momentum but one recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Thompson (17-8-1) is coming off two straight losses but historically rebounds well after losing streaks. Bonfim (17-1) is a powerful striker with high output and finishing ability, recently bouncing back after a loss with two wins.
• No prior matchups between Thompson and Bonfim; styles contrast with Thompson’s karate-based striking and Bonfim’s high-pressure striking.
• No current injury reports for either fighter; both appear fully healthy for this bout.
• Fight held at UFC Nashville, neutral site with no apparent advantage; Thompson is the older fighter at 42 versus 27 for Bonfim.
• Thompson motivated to avoid a third straight loss and extend career legacy, while Bonfim motivated to break into welterweight top 15 with a high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Gabriel Bonfim to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Gabriel Bonfim wins by decision or late round finish in 4th round

Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, USA

Game Overview

Los Angeles FC hosts FC Dallas in a Major League Soccer match. LAFC currently demonstrates strong recent form and a superior win probability. Dallas is seen as the underdog with lower expected performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• LAFC is unbeaten in 14 of their last 16 matches and recently won 3-0 vs Colorado Rapids, indicating excellent current form. FC Dallas has a respectable 55% win rate but is less consistent overall.
• Recent head-to-head data suggests LAFC has a 62% chance to win, 22% draw, and only 16% for Dallas, indicating historical dominance by LAFC in this matchup.
• No critical injuries reported that would significantly impact the starting lineups or team strength for either side.
• The match is held at LAFC’s home venue, granting them home advantage. Weather and travel factors do not appear to negatively impact LAFC significantly.
• LAFC’s unbeaten streak and position in the conference provide strong motivation to maintain momentum, whereas Dallas faces challenge to upset a top-performing team away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC to win on the moneyline, LAFC -1.5 on the spread, and under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: LA Galaxy vs D.C. United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, USA

Game Overview

LA Galaxy hosts D.C. United in a Major League Soccer matchup with LA Galaxy showing clear superiority in form, home advantage, and scoring metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

• LA Galaxy has a strong recent run with a 3-0 win over Vancouver Whitecaps and a higher goal difference (+33) and goals per game (2.23) compared to D.C. United (1.53 goals/game, -18 goal difference). LA Galaxy also boasts a 61% win rate versus D.C. United's 33%.
• Simulations give LA Galaxy a win probability around 60-63%, with D.C. United around 16-24%, and draws roughly 20-23%. The most common predicted score is 2-0 in favor of LA Galaxy.
• No major injury concerns reported for either side directly affecting key players, suggesting both teams field near full-strength lineups.
• Home advantage for LA Galaxy at Dignity Health Sports Park is significant; no notable adverse conditions impacting the match.
• LA Galaxy appears more motivated, playing at home and with better recent form, while D.C. United struggles with fewer wins and a poor away record.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

LA Galaxy to win on the moneyline and cover the -0.5 spread with a moderately high scoring game expected over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: LA Galaxy 2 – 0 D.C. United