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Ellie Scotney vs. Yamileth Mercado Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ellie Scotney vs Yamileth Mercado – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Ellie Scotney (10-0-0) faces Yamileth Mercado (24-3-0) in a unification fight at super bantamweight for multiple world titles. The bout is scheduled for 10 rounds with both fighters orthodox, same age (27), but Mercado brings significantly more experience and knockout power. Scotney is undefeated but the underdog in this highly competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Scotney is undefeated with technical skill and has held multiple titles (IBF, IBO, WBO). Mercado has been a pro since 2014 with a strong record and WBC title, notable for KO power (21% KO rate vs Scotney's 0%). Both boxers have similar round experience (61), but Mercado has fought more pro fights (27 more).
  • No prior fights between Scotney and Mercado, making this their first head-to-head encounter. Both are elite champions meeting in a unification bout.
  • No reported injuries or concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight is on a high-profile card at Madison Square Garden, New York, with significant audience attention as part of a major female boxing event. No travel or environmental disadvantages evident.
  • Both fighters highly motivated with multiple titles on the line. Scotney aims to maintain perfect record and unify belts, Mercado looks to assert power and experience to claim undisputed status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ellie Scotney: -1800, Yamileth Mercado: 800 Yamileth Mercado High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ellie Scotney -92%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Despite Scotney's undefeated record and height advantage, Mercado's superior experience, knockout power, and championship pedigree provide her the edge. The odds (-1800 Scotney, +800 Mercado) undervalue Mercado's potential impact in the fight. The value lies in backing Mercado on the moneyline and considering total rounds over given the expected competitiveness and Mercado's ability to deliver stoppages.

Predicted Score: Mercado wins via late-round TKO or unanimous decision, 7-9 rounds


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Tammara Thibeault vs. Mary Casamassa Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tammara Thibeault vs Mary Casamassa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden

Game Overview

This boxing match features undefeated fighters Tammara Thibeault and Mary Casamassa, with Thibeault being the strong favorite due to her undefeated record and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tammara Thibeault remains undefeated with a strong record, while Mary Casamassa also holds an undefeated record but has fewer bouts. Thibeault's performance suggests she is the more formidable opponent.
  • There is no previous head-to-head matchup between the two, making it difficult to assess their historical performance against each other.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is set at 160 pounds, a weight class both fighters are familiar with.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to maintain their undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -4000 for Tammara Thibeault, +1400 for Mary Casamassa Tammara Thibeault High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tammara Thibeault -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Tammara Thibeault is likely to win given her odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Tammara Thibeault win by decision or early stoppage.


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Savannah Marshall vs. Shadasia Green Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Savannah Marshall vs Shadasia Green – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, USA

Game Overview

The fight features IBF super-middleweight champion Savannah Marshall against WBO titlist Shadasia Green on the undercard of the Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III event. Marshall is returning after a long layoff of almost three years, while Green has maintained more recent activity with fights approximately every six months. Both fighters are at the top of the super-middleweight division with Marshall holding multiple titles and an unbeaten record except for one loss, and Green being an experienced, powerful fighter with a 73% KO rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Savannah Marshall has fought infrequently over the last four years with an average of about one fight per 10 months, totaling 28 rounds in her last five fights. In contrast, Shadasia Green has been more active, fighting every five to six months on average, totaling 44 rounds in her last five bouts. Green's fights also tend to last longer, averaging 8.8 rounds compared to Marshall's 5.6, indicating greater recent ring experience and stamina.
  • There is no record of a previous fight between Savannah Marshall and Shadasia Green to directly compare their styles or outcomes.
  • There are no publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight being held at Madison Square Garden, a prestigious venue, and broadcast on Netflix in the US and UK adds high exposure and pressure. Marshall has recently signed promotional terms with MVP, aligning her with other top fighters, which might increase her motivation and support. The undercard positioning under a major fight may affect pacing and performance.
  • Marshall looks to re-establish herself as the world's best at 168lbs after a long absence from the ring, making this a critical comeback fight. Green, more active recently with consistent wins and a strong KO percentage, will be motivated to prove herself against a top-tier opponent and unify recognition at super middleweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Savannah Marshall: -650, Shadasia Green: +450 Savannah Marshall High
Spread Marshall -2.5 rounds Marshall to win by more than 2 rounds Moderate
Over/under Total rounds 7.5 Under 7.5 rounds Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Savannah Marshall -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Savannah Marshall at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Savannah Marshall is favored strongly due to her championship pedigree and power, despite the inactivity. Her technical skill and previous championship experience outweigh Green’s activity advantage. Expect Marshall to control the fight with disciplined power and ring IQ, likely winning by knockout or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Marshall wins by 7th round TKO


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Calgary Stampeders Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, Saskatchewan

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders will host the Calgary Stampeders in a West Division CFL matchup. Saskatchewan enters with a solid home advantage at Mosaic Stadium, a venue hosting both the season opener and closer, indicating strong home fan support. Calgary, currently 1-0 overall, has shown early season strength against divisional rivals, while Saskatchewan aims to leverage its consistency and home-field edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan has been historically strong at home and maintains consistent performance in the West Division, facing teams twice or more. Calgary holds a promising 1-0 record this season and showed offensive capability with a 37-16 win over Winnipeg recently, signaling a potent scoring ability.
  • Both teams regularly face each other at least twice per season due to divisional alignment. Recent results favor Calgary in high-scoring contests, but home advantage for Saskatchewan is impactful, balancing the rivalry.
  • No major injury updates available currently for either team, suggesting both can field near full-strength lineups.
  • The game’s timing at 1:00 AM UTC corresponds to a prime Saturday evening slot locally, likely providing strong crowd support for Saskatchewan. The pressure to maintain divisional standing early in the season is high, with playoff positioning critical in the competitive West Division.
  • Saskatchewan is motivated to defend its home turf and continue its tradition of strong season openers and closures at Mosaic Stadium. Calgary aims to build on its early season momentum and prove its scoring strength on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders: -220, Calgary Stampeders: 180 Saskatchewan Roughriders to win High
Spread Saskatchewan Roughriders: -4.5 -115, Calgary Stampeders: +4.5 -105 Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover -4.5 High
Over/under Over 52.5: -110, Under 52.5: -110 Over 52.5 points total Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong home performance by Saskatchewan, balanced against Calgary's offensive prowess, the value lies in backing Saskatchewan to cover the -4.5 spread at home. The moneyline odds favor Saskatchewan (-220), reflecting this advantage, which is justified by their consistency and venue support.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 30 – 24 Calgary Stampeders


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Marina Monteiro vs. Nawira Ferreira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marina Monteiro vs Nawira Ferreira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: LFA 212 Event Venue

Game Overview

This Strawweight 3-round MMA bout features Marina Monteiro vs Nawira Ferreira at LFA 212. Monteiro holds a 4-2 record with balanced finishing ability and recent strong form, while Ferreira is undefeated 4-0, all wins by KO/TKO, indicating strong striking power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Monteiro has a 4-2 record with a mix of KOs, submissions, and decisions, showing versatility. Ferreira is 4-0 with 100% KO/TKO wins, demonstrating high finishing ability but less experience.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups recorded between Monteiro and Ferreira.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight is held in Brazil where both fighters are from, eliminating travel disadvantages. The event is part of a major LFA card, providing high motivation.
  • Ferreira looks to maintain undefeated status and build on knockout streak; Monteiro seeks to rebound from prior losses and prove versatility and durability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marina Monteiro: -450, Nawira Ferreira: 350 Marina Monteiro ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Marina Monteiro -1.5 rounds: -200, Nawira Ferreira +1.5 rounds: 180 Marina Monteiro -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -165, Under 2.5 rounds: 135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marina Monteiro -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Marina Monteiro due to experience and recent form overcoming Ferreira's undefeated KO streak. Spread prediction favors Monteiro to win by a margin (decision or finish) grounded in her versatility. Over/Under set at 2.5 rounds likely leans Under as Monteiro's defensive skill may prolong the fight.

Predicted Score: Monteiro wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Marcos Degli vs. Matheus Severino Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcos Degli vs Matheus Severino – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance 212 (Venue not specified)

Game Overview

Marcos Degli faces Matheus Severino in an LFA 212 lightweight bout, with Degli strongly favored by bookmakers. The fight features two rising talents in regional MMA, both skilled but with Degli holding a clear edge in recent performance and betting support.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcos Degli has shown strong recent form with dominant victories, while Matheus Severino has competitive but less consistent results.
  • No previous direct matchups between the two fighters, limiting comparative insights.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Standard conditions with no reported external disruptions; the bout is on a neutral LFA card.
  • Both fighters are motivated to impress for further career advancement, but Degli has additional motivation to validate his heavy favorite status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Degli -450, Severino +350 Marcos Degli ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -115, Under 1.5 rounds -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcos Degli -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcos Degli to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Marcos Degli wins by TKO in round 1


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Herbeth Sousa vs. Michel Lima Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Herbeth Sousa vs Michel Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: LFA 212

Game Overview

Herbeth Sousa enters as the strong favorite against Michel Lima in this Bantamweight matchup at LFA 212. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds with both fighters making the 135 lbs weight limit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sousa has demonstrated consistent recent form and is favored by bookmakers with a strong 69% implied win probability. Lima is seen as an underdog but has the potential for an upset.
  • No direct H2H data available, but betting lines strongly favor Sousa, indicating superior perceived skill or record.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter, suggesting both are at full health for this contest.
  • No notable external influences such as venue bias or travel fatigue reported; the fight is in a neutral environment.
  • Sousa likely motivated to maintain dominance as favorite; Lima motivated as underdog to prove upset potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sousa -280, Lima +200 Sousa ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Sousa -1.5 rounds -150, Lima +1.5 rounds +130 Sousa -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Herbeth Sousa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Sousa wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Claudio Ribeiro vs. Diego Dias Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Claudio Ribeiro vs Diego Dias – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Claudio Ribeiro and Diego Dias is part of an event available on UFC Fight Pass. Claudio Ribeiro, a UFC veteran, is stepping in as a replacement for Christian Frohlich to face Diego Dias in the co-main event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Diego Dias is favored, which could indicate a strong recent form or a perceived advantage in skillset. Claudio Ribeiro, being a UFC veteran, might have an edge in experience but could be at a disadvantage in terms of current form.
  • There is no reported head-to-head matchup between the two, making it difficult to assess past performances against each other.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The fight's global availability on UFC Fight Pass might add pressure, but both fighters should be accustomed to high-profile events.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Claudio Ribeiro looking to prove himself as a capable replacement and Diego Dias aiming to secure a win against a UFC veteran.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Claudio Ribeiro +170, Diego Dias -210 Diego Dias ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Diego Dias -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Diego Dias at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Diego Dias is favored, indicating a higher probability of winning. However, Claudio Ribeiro's experience could make him a live underdog.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights


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Daniel Araujo vs. Thomas Bryan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Brasília, DF, Brazil

Game Overview

Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan is a mixed martial arts bout featured at LFA 212. Araujo is undefeated with a 7-0 record and notable KO/TKO power, while Bryan has a 7-3 record. The fight is expected to showcase Araujo's finishing ability and Bryan's resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Daniel Araujo has been dominant recently with 7 straight wins including multiple first-round stoppages, indicating high finishing capability. Thomas Bryan, with a record of 7-3, has shown competitiveness but fewer finishes against top competition.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Daniel Araujo and Thomas Bryan.
  • No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight takes place in Brasília, Brazil, which may favor Araujo slightly due to regional familiarity and crowd support.
  • Araujo's undefeated status and rising profile provide strong motivation to maintain dominance. Bryan seeks to upset and improve his standing, but the motivation gap favors Araujo.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -650, away: 425 Daniel Araujo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home_spread: -1.5 @ -120, away_spread: +1.5 @ +100 Daniel Araujo -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over_2.5: +150, under_2.5: -180 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniel Araujo -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Araujo to win by decision or stoppage, controlling the pace and utilizing striking power.

Predicted Score: Daniel Araujo wins by unanimous decision or stoppage before round 3


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Joao Pedro Moreira vs. Leonardo Cerboni Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joao Pedro Moreira vs Leonardo Cerboni – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance

Game Overview

Joao Pedro Moreira faces Leonardo Cerboni in a bantamweight MMA bout. Moreira holds a strong record of 7-1 with a well-rounded skill set and recent momentum, while Cerboni stands at 6-1 with solid striking and grappling but less activity in recent months.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreira is coming off multiple recent wins including a TKO in late 2024 and unanimous decision victories, showing consistent form. Cerboni’s last fight was a TKO win in November 2024 after a prior split decision loss in 2023.
  • This appears to be their first professional matchup, with no direct H2H history available.
  • No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter at this time.
  • The fight is held at a neutral venue within Legacy Fighting Alliance, with no significant home advantage or external distractions noted.
  • Moreira seems highly motivated to maintain his upward trajectory in a competitive division, while Cerboni aims to rebound strongly from his 2023 loss and prove his consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joao Pedro Moreira: -350, Leonardo Cerboni: 275 Joao Pedro Moreira ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Moreira -1.5: -115, Cerboni +1.5: -105 Moreira -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -120 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joao Pedro Moreira -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joao Pedro Moreira to win by decision

Predicted Score: Joao Pedro Moreira wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds


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