Match Analysis: Savannah Marshall vs Shadasia Green – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, USA
Game Overview
The fight features IBF super-middleweight champion Savannah Marshall against WBO titlist Shadasia Green on the undercard of the Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III event. Marshall is returning after a long layoff of almost three years, while Green has maintained more recent activity with fights approximately every six months. Both fighters are at the top of the super-middleweight division with Marshall holding multiple titles and an unbeaten record except for one loss, and Green being an experienced, powerful fighter with a 73% KO rate.
Key Factors to Consider
- Savannah Marshall has fought infrequently over the last four years with an average of about one fight per 10 months, totaling 28 rounds in her last five fights. In contrast, Shadasia Green has been more active, fighting every five to six months on average, totaling 44 rounds in her last five bouts. Green's fights also tend to last longer, averaging 8.8 rounds compared to Marshall's 5.6, indicating greater recent ring experience and stamina.
- There is no record of a previous fight between Savannah Marshall and Shadasia Green to directly compare their styles or outcomes.
- There are no publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
- The fight being held at Madison Square Garden, a prestigious venue, and broadcast on Netflix in the US and UK adds high exposure and pressure. Marshall has recently signed promotional terms with MVP, aligning her with other top fighters, which might increase her motivation and support. The undercard positioning under a major fight may affect pacing and performance.
- Marshall looks to re-establish herself as the world's best at 168lbs after a long absence from the ring, making this a critical comeback fight. Green, more active recently with consistent wins and a strong KO percentage, will be motivated to prove herself against a top-tier opponent and unify recognition at super middleweight.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Savannah Marshall: -650, Shadasia Green: +450 | Savannah Marshall | High |
Spread | Marshall -2.5 rounds | Marshall to win by more than 2 rounds | Moderate |
Over/under | Total rounds 7.5 | Under 7.5 rounds | Moderate |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Savannah Marshall -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Savannah Marshall at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Savannah Marshall is favored strongly due to her championship pedigree and power, despite the inactivity. Her technical skill and previous championship experience outweigh Green’s activity advantage. Expect Marshall to control the fight with disciplined power and ring IQ, likely winning by knockout or late stoppage.
Predicted Score: Marshall wins by 7th round TKO