Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 5:00 AM UTC
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Game Overview
The Melbourne Storm travel to face the Newcastle Knights in a significant NRL match. The Storm are currently in second place, while the Knights are struggling in 13th. The Storm are favored to win, given their strong recent form and the return of key players from Origin duties.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Storm have been consistent, winning 12 of their last 14 against the Knights. However, the Knights have won their last two home games against the Storm. The Knights lack consistency, having lost six of their last seven home games.
- The Storm have a dominant head-to-head record against the Knights, winning 12 of the past 14 matches. However, the Knights' recent home victories against the Storm are noteworthy.
- Kalyn Ponga remains sidelined for the Knights, while the Storm welcome back their Origin players. The Knights have made some adjustments, including Fletcher Hunt starting at fullback.
- The Storm's motivation to secure the minor premiership could influence their performance.
- The Storm's drive for the minor premiership and the Knights' desire to stay in contention for the finals could impact team motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -375 for Storm, 300 for Knights, 2400 for Draw | Storm to win | High |
Spread | -10.5 for Storm, +10.5 for Knights | Storm to cover | Medium-High |
Over/under | 46.5 | Over | Medium |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Melbourne Storm -81% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 46.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Melbourne Storm to win, given their recent form and the return of key players. The Knights' inconsistent performance and injury issues make a Storm victory likely.
Predicted Score: Storm 26 – Knights 16