Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-10
- Time: 11:46 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
This MLB matchup features the St. Louis Cardinals hosting the Washington Nationals at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals hold a solid 49-44 record, while the Nationals are struggling at 38-54. Starting pitchers are Miles Mikolas for St. Louis and Michael Soroka for Washington.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cardinals have a better record and home advantage, with more consistent pitching and offense. The Nationals rank mid-pack in runs scored but have a high pitching ERA (5.12) and WHIP (1.40), indicating pitching struggles.
- Recent series favors the Cardinals who won the first game of this series 4-2, though the Nationals took the second 8-2. Overall, the Cardinals have been stronger in head-to-head encounters this season.
- No major injuries reported impacting starting lineup or rotation for either team; both starters are healthy.
- Home field advantage favors the Cardinals. Weather and stadium factors are typical for Busch Stadium mid-July with no reported major influencing conditions.
- Cardinals are in playoff contention and motivated to secure wins at home. Nationals are out of playoff contention and have shown inconsistent motivation lately.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis -142, Washington +120 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | St. Louis -1.5 at 146, Washington +1.5 at -178 | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 9 at 100, Under 9 at -122 | Under 9 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win outright (Moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game total to go under 9 runs.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 5, Washington Nationals 2