Match Analysis: Julius Walker vs Raffael Cerqueira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Julius Walker (-675) faces Raffael Cerqueira (+490) in a light heavyweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 109. Walker is a younger, taller orthodox fighter with a 6-1 record, known for high significant strike output and solid defense. Cerqueira is an experienced southpaw with an 11-2 record but absorbs many strikes and has a lower strike rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Walker holds a recent record of 6-1 with high striking volume and efficiency (5.73 significant strikes/min at 50% accuracy), while Cerqueira is 11-2 with a lower strike rate (3.28/min at 43%) but better strike defense (42%). Walker's defense allows fewer strikes absorbed (5.80 per min) compared to Cerqueira's high absorption (14.43 per min).
• No prior head-to-head bouts between Julius Walker and Raffael Cerqueira.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
• Fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue; Walker benefits from youth and reach advantage (78" vs 76"), potentially favoring striking exchanges.
• Walker, at 26, is seeking to establish himself as a rising contender with a near-flawless record; Cerqueira, at 35, chasing relevance against a top prospect, potentially motivated but possibly impacted by age.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Walker: -675, Cerqueira: +490	Julius Walker	★★★★☆ 83%
Spread	Walker -3.5 (-525), Cerqueira +3.5 (330)	Julius Walker -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 1.5 (+200), Under 1.5 (-270)	Under 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Julius Walker -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Julius Walker wins by decision

Predicted Score: Julius Walker via decision

Match Analysis: Alonzo Menifield vs Julius Walker – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 22, 2025
• Time: 2:15 AM UTC
• Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Game Overview

Alonzo Menifield faces Julius Walker in a Light Heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night 252. Menifield, with a record of 15-5-1, is more experienced but has shown inconsistency. Walker, undefeated at 6-0, makes his UFC debut with a height and reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Menifield has more experience but recent losses indicate inconsistency. Walker's undefeated record and physical advantages could pose challenges.
• No previous head-to-head matches between Menifield and Walker.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Walker's UFC debut might bring additional pressure, while Menifield's experience could stabilize his performance.
• Both fighters are highly motivated; Menifield seeks redemption, and Walker aims to maintain his undefeated record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alonzo Menifield: -225, Julius Walker: 185	Alonzo Menifield	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Alonzo Menifield: -3.5 -175, Julius Walker: 3.5 125	Alonzo Menifield	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over: 1.5 -110, Under: 1.5 -120	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Alonzo Menifield is favored to win due to experience, but Julius Walker's physical advantages and undefeated record make him a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: Alonzo Menifield wins by decision or late-round stoppage.