Match Analysis: Julius Walker vs Raffael Cerqueira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The light heavyweight prelims fight features Julius Walker, a 26-year-old orthodox striker with solid wrestling skills and a record of 6-1, against veteran southpaw Raffael Cerqueira, 35, with an 11-2 record. Both weigh around 205 lbs, with Walker standing 6'4" and Cerqueira 6'3". Walker demonstrates a higher significant strike rate and better absorption defense, while Cerqueira possesses experience and a respectable strike deflection rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Julius Walker maintains an aggressive and effective striking output at 5.73 significant strikes landed per minute with 50% accuracy, while defending well with a 40% significant strike defense rate. Cerqueira, with 3.28 significant strikes landed per minute and 43% accuracy, tends to absorb a higher rate of significant strikes (14.43 per minute) despite a slightly better strike deflection rate of 42%.
• There is no previous direct fight between Julius Walker and Raffael Cerqueira, making this matchup unpredictable and reliant on style analysis and current form.
• No current injury reports for either fighter have been identified leading up to this match.
• The match takes place at UFC Apex, a neutral venue known for hosting UFC events, with no external weather or location disadvantages impacting either fighter. Walker is younger and considered to be in prime physical condition, whereas Cerqueira’s age may be a factor.
• Walker is seen as an up-and-coming prospect eager to solidify his status, showing more composure and depth in fights. Cerqueira, as a veteran, is motivated to leverage his experience to upset the younger fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Julius Walker: -675, Raffael Cerqueira: 490	Julius Walker	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Julius Walker -3.5: -525, Raffael Cerqueira +3.5: 330	Julius Walker -3.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 200, Under 1.5 rounds: -270	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Julius Walker -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Julius Walker at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Julius Walker is predicted to control the fight through superior wrestling and striking accuracy, with a high likelihood of a first-round technical knockout, unless Cerqueira can successfully counter early.

Predicted Score: Walker wins by first-round TKO

Match Analysis: Alonzo Menifield vs Julius Walker – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 22, 2025
• Time: 2:15 AM UTC
• Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Game Overview

Alonzo Menifield faces Julius Walker in a Light Heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night 252. Menifield, with a record of 15-5-1, is more experienced but has shown inconsistency. Walker, undefeated at 6-0, makes his UFC debut with a height and reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Menifield has more experience but recent losses indicate inconsistency. Walker's undefeated record and physical advantages could pose challenges.
• No previous head-to-head matches between Menifield and Walker.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Walker's UFC debut might bring additional pressure, while Menifield's experience could stabilize his performance.
• Both fighters are highly motivated; Menifield seeks redemption, and Walker aims to maintain his undefeated record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alonzo Menifield: -225, Julius Walker: 185	Alonzo Menifield	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Alonzo Menifield: -3.5 -175, Julius Walker: 3.5 125	Alonzo Menifield	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over: 1.5 -110, Under: 1.5 -120	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Alonzo Menifield is favored to win due to experience, but Julius Walker's physical advantages and undefeated record make him a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: Alonzo Menifield wins by decision or late-round stoppage.