Match Analysis: Juan Diaz vs Won Il Kwon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-15
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Bantamweight division (Venue not specified)

Game Overview

The Bantamweight bout between Juan Diaz and Won Il Kwon at Dana White's Contender Series features two rising fighters with contrasting styles. Both athletes are closely matched in skill and experience, making this a tightly contested matchup with no clear dominant favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

• Juan Diaz has shown consistent striking and solid grappling defense in recent fights, while Won Il Kwon has demonstrated aggressive pace and effective takedown capabilities. Recent form is balanced but Diaz carries slightly more momentum with fewer recent losses.
• No prior head-to-head encounter between Diaz and Kwon exists, making tactical adjustments during the fight a key factor.
• Neither fighter reported any significant injuries heading into this bout, indicating both are likely at peak physical condition.
• The fight being part of Dana White's Contender Series adds motivation for both fighters to impress for a UFC contract, increasing urgency and intensity.
• High motivation on both sides; Diaz aims to solidify his path to UFC, while Kwon seeks to capitalize on his aggressive style to secure a contract. This motivation elevates competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Juan Diaz: -120, Won Il Kwon: -102	Juan Diaz	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Juan Diaz -1.5 rounds: +150, Won Il Kwon +1.5 rounds: -180	Won Il Kwon +1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Juan Diaz -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Juan Diaz at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Juan Diaz to win

Predicted Score: Juan Diaz wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3