Josh Taylor vs. Ekow Essuman Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Josh Taylor vs Ekow Essuman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hydro Arena, Glasgow, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The boxing match features former undisputed super-lightweight champion Josh Taylor making his welterweight debut against WBO European champion Ekow Essuman. Taylor, with a professional record of 19-2 (13 KOs), is stepping up in weight after a close loss in a previous title rematch. Essuman, with a record of 21-1 (8 KOs), brings strong momentum from recent title wins and holds the Commonwealth and British Welterweight Titles. The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds at 147 lbs in the welterweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Josh Taylor has proven elite skills at super-lightweight with a strong knockout rate and high-level experience including Olympic and Commonwealth Games medals. Moving up to welterweight, Taylor faces a physically bigger and strong Essuman, who possesses a solid record and is the reigning Commonwealth and British champion. Both fighters have momentum, but Taylor's world-class pedigree contrasts with Essuman's hunger and form.
  • This is the first meeting between Josh Taylor and Ekow Essuman, so no direct head-to-head history exists. Taylor’s experience at world-class level arguably gives him an edge in ring IQ and tactical versatility.
  • No documented injuries have been reported for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both are expected in peak condition.
  • Fighting at home in Glasgow, Taylor benefits from strong local support and familiarity with the venue, potentially influencing his performance positively. The bout is held at the Hydro Arena to a likely enthusiastic crowd, adding atmosphere and pressure.
  • Taylor is highly motivated to secure a successful welterweight debut and begin a two-weight world title pursuit after moving up from super-lightweight. Essuman is equally motivated to establish himself at world level by defeating a former undisputed champion and solidify his status in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Josh Taylor: -345, Ekow Essuman: 255 Josh Taylor to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Josh Taylor -3.5 rounds: -150, Ekow Essuman +3.5 rounds: +130 Josh Taylor to win by more than 3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 10.5 rounds: -300, Under 10.5 rounds: +225 Under 10.5 rounds (fight ends before full distance) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Josh Taylor -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 111%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 111% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josh Taylor is the favorite to win by KO or decision, leveraging his elite experience and skill advantage. The likelihood of a Taylor knockout is significant, although Essuman’s power and resilience mean it could also go the distance.

Predicted Score: Josh Taylor wins by KO in 9th round


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