Match Analysis: Tahmir Smalls vs Jose Roman – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-12
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, United States

Game Overview

The welterweight boxing match between Tahmir Smalls and Jose Roman Vazquez is scheduled for 10 rounds at the Wells Fargo Center. Smalls enters as a heavy favorite, with bookmakers strongly favoring him based on recent performances and odds movement.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tahmir Smalls has demonstrated dominant form with a sharp record and odds consistently favoring him significantly. Jose Roman Vazquez is viewed as a major underdog with modest chances.
• There is no recorded direct head-to-head matchup between these fighters, limiting direct comparison but bookmakers rely heavily on form and style analysis.
• No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter at the time of analysis.
• The fight is held at a neutral yet familiar venue for Smalls (Philadelphia). No notable external disruptions or conditions reported.
• Smalls is motivated to maintain his favored status while Vazquez appears as an underdog seeking an upset to elevate his profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Smalls: -650, Roman: +416	Tahmir Smalls	★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under	Over 8.5: -110, Under 8.5: -120	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tahmir Smalls 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 28%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tahmir Smalls to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and the fight to go under 8.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Tahmir Smalls wins by stoppage before round 9

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – October 11, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Ibraheem Sulaimaan vs. James Chereji Prediction	Ibraheem Sulaimaan	-10000	1686%
Jaron Ennis vs. Uisma Lima Prediction	Under 7.5	-105	37%
Tahmir Smalls vs. Jose Roman Prediction	Under 8.5	-120	28%

Combined Odds: +262 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $72.3

Match Analysis: Jose Roman vs Jalil Hackett – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Caribe Royale

Game Overview

Jose Roman and Jalil Hackett face off in a rematch for the WBA Continental North America Welterweight title. This bout follows their previous encounter where Roman secured a victory over Hackett.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jalil Hackett enters with a previously undefeated record until his loss to Roman, while Roman boasts a strong record with only one loss. Both fighters have shown resilience without knockouts in their wins.
• Jose Roman won their previous match, which could give him psychological momentum. However, Jalil Hackett will seek redemption.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The rematch at Caribe Royale might favor Roman due to his recent win, but Hackett's determination for a comeback could be a significant factor.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Hackett seeking revenge and Roman looking to solidify his position.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-720 for Jalil Hackett, 470 for Jose Roman	Jose Roman	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Jose Roman to win.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Jose Roman.