Match Analysis: Steven Butler vs Jose De Jesus Macias – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-27
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Centre Videotron, Quebec City, Canada
Game Overview
Steven Butler and Jose De Jesus Macias will face off in a 10-round super middleweight rematch at Centre Videotron. Their first fight in early 2021 ended with Macias winning by fifth-round TKO. Butler, a former two-time Canadian title challenger, looks to avenge that loss on home turf, while Macias aims to repeat his victory on foreign soil.
Key Factors to Consider
- Steven Butler holds a record of 35-5-1 with 29 KOs, showing strong knockout power and recent form with a quick KO in his last November bout. Jose De Jesus Macias has a record of 29-13-4 with 15 KOs and last fought in November as well, securing a fourth-round stoppage. Butler has the advantage of recent momentum and home crowd support, while Macias has proven finishing ability and experience.
- Macias leads the head-to-head after stopping Butler in the fifth round in their initial 2021 matchup. This rematch is highly anticipated with unfinished business, as Butler is motivated to reverse the previous outcome.
- No recent injury reports have been noted for either fighter, suggesting both are in full fitness for this rematch.
- The fight being held in Quebec City gives Butler a home advantage with strong local support. The event is undercard to a high-profile bout, increasing the spotlight. Macias has expressed dissatisfaction at returning to Butler’s home ground but is motivated to prove himself again.
- Butler is described as 'enraged' and 'hungry' for revenge after prior cancellations and the first fight loss, indicating high motivation. Macias is confident in repeating his victory and has public statements emphasizing his intent to finish Butler again, showing strong fighting spirit.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Steven Butler: -295, Jose De Jesus Macias: 225 | Steven Butler | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Steven Butler -1.5 rounds: -110, Jose De Jesus Macias +1.5 rounds: -110 | Steven Butler -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5 rounds: -105, Under 7.5 rounds: -115 | Under 7.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Steven Butler -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Steven Butler at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Steven Butler is favored to win the rematch due to home advantage, improved form, and higher knockout power, but Macias’s previous win and resilience make an upset possible.
Predicted Score: Steven Butler wins by 7th round TKO