Match Analysis: Jose Daniel Medina vs Dusko Todorovic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX

Game Overview

Middleweight UFC matchup between Jose Daniel Medina and Dusko Todorovic featuring contrasting striking volume and accuracy, with Todorovic favored by sportsbooks due to his higher significant strike rate and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dusko Todorovic has a record of 12-6 with a high output of 4.79 significant strikes per minute landing at 57% accuracy, while Medina is 11-5 with 2.18 significant strikes per minute at 36% accuracy; Todorovic's superior striking volume and defense advantage imply better recent form.
• No direct head-to-head matchups recorded between these two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both appear physically prepared.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue in San Antonio, no notable external factors affecting either fighter.
• Both fighters motivated to improve UFC rankings; Todorovic looking to capitalize on momentum with more finishes, Medina aiming to prove himself as an underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +270, away: -340	Dusko Todorovic	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	DuskoTodrovic: -5.5 @ -120, JoseMedina: +5.5 @ -110	Dusko Todorovic -5.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 1.5 @ -250, under: 1.5 @ 190	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dusko Todorovic -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dusko Todorovic at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dusko Todorovic to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Dusko Todorovic wins by decision or late finish, likely after Round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria Prediction	Alessandro Costa Win	-410	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Jose Daniel Medina vs. Dusko Todorovic Prediction	Dusko Todorovic Win	-340	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos Prediction	Tatiana Suarez Win	-455	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -104

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $39.27

Match Analysis: Jose Daniel Medina vs Ateba Gautier – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-29
• Time: 10:25 PM UTC
• Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City

Game Overview

This bout at UFC on ESPN 64 pits Jose Daniel Medina against Ateba Gautier in a middleweight matchup. Medina, with a record of 11-4, faces the less experienced but powerful Gautier, who boasts a 6-1 record. The fight promises an intriguing clash of styles as Medina's ground game faces off against Gautier's striking prowess.

Key Factors to Consider

• Medina's MMA experience includes several knockout wins, but he recently lost by decision to Zachary Reese. Gautier, known for his powerful striking, secured a recent TKO victory over Yura Naito, showcasing his potential as a formidable opponent.
• There is no previous meeting between these two fighters, but their contrasting styles could lead to an engaging bout. Medina's ground skills might face a challenge in Gautier's defensive capabilities.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• The fight takes place at high altitude (Mexico City), which could affect cardio performance, potentially impacting Gautier more due to his past issues with stamina during fights.
• Both fighters seek a win to boost their profiles in the UFC. Medina aims for his first UFC victory, while Gautier makes his official UFC debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-440 for Ateba Gautier / 340 for Jose Daniel Medina	Ateba Gautier	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Ateba Gautier -3.5 / Jose Daniel Medina +3.5	Ateba Gautier -3.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 1.5 (-166) / Under 1.5 (130)	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Ateba Gautier is favored to win due to his striking speed and power, although his cardio issues and Medina's durability could pose challenges in a potentially grueling fight.

Predicted Score: Gautier via TKO or Decision

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Raul Rosas Jr vs. Vince Morales Prediction	Raul Rosas Jr Win	-485	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ateba Gautier Prediction	Ateba Gautier Win	-440	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Theodor Berggren vs. Leonardo Damiani Prediction	Theodor Berggren Win	-170	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +135

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $47.02