Match Analysis: Ali Saldoev vs Jordan Estupinan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-02
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok
Game Overview
Flyweight Muay Thai clash between undefeated Colombian Jordan Estupinan (recent decision win over Freddie Haggerty) and Russian KO artist Ali Saldoev (notable debut KO at ONE 166). Estupinan aims to build momentum; Saldoev seeks redemption after recent loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Estupinan: Undefeated record, tactical striking versatility. Saldoev: Explosive power, Fight Club Archangel Michael training.
- First meeting between the fighters.
- No reported injuries.
- Event held at Lumpinee Stadium (neutral venue), U.S. primetime broadcast pressure.
- Estupinan seeks top-tier ranking path; Saldoev aims to reassert himself as a contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saldoev +150 | Estupinan -200 | Estupinan (favored) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-150) | Under 2.5 rounds (+120) | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jordan Estupinan 55% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Estupinan at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Estupinan by decision (60% confidence) due to superior technical striking and proven composure in high-paced fights.
Predicted Score: Estupinan via unanimous decision (3 rounds)