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Match Analysis: Ger Harris vs Jonny Touma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dublin, Ireland
Game Overview
The upcoming flyweight MMA bout features Ger Harris of Ireland against Jonny Touma of Sweden as part of Cage Warriors 194 main card. Both fighters have records indicating competitive experience, with Harris at 5-3-0 and Touma at 6-4-0. The match is scheduled to be contested over three 5-minute rounds at 125 lbs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ger Harris holds a slightly better win-to-loss ratio (5-3) than Jonny Touma (6-4), with both fighters demonstrating a mix of striking and grappling skills. Harris’s physical reach (1.6m) and height (160cm) are marginally less than Touma's reach (1.67m) and height (167cm), possibly affecting striking exchanges.
- No direct previous matchups between Ger Harris and Jonny Touma have been recorded, making this fight their first encounter.
- No reported injuries affecting either fighter going into the bout.
- The fight takes place in Dublin, Ireland, potentially giving Ger Harris a home advantage due to local crowd support and familiarity with conditions.
- Both fighters showcase good motivation with solid professional records and experience in Cage Warriors. Harris may be motivated to defend home turf, whereas Touma may seek to establish dominance in a foreign environment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ger Harris: -140, Jonny Touma: +120 | Ger Harris to win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Ger Harris -1.5: -110, Jonny Touma +1.5: -110 | Ger Harris -1.5 (win by more than one round) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 | Under 2.5 rounds (fight to finish before full duration) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ger Harris is favored to win based on current odds, home advantage, and a slightly better recent performance profile. However, the fight is expected to be competitive given Touma's proficiency and physical advantages.
Predicted Score: Ger Harris wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3