Match Analysis: Jonhatan Cardoso vs Luis Guzman Torres – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: CareFirst Arena, Washington, D.C.
Game Overview
Lightweight division bout between Jonhatan Cardoso and Luis Guzman Torres scheduled for 10 rounds. Cardoso has an 18-1 record with 83% knockout rate, slightly younger with a 2-inch reach advantage. Torres has a 21-1 record with 57% knockout rate and more total rounds fought.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardoso has shown higher knockout power and effective finishing ability, while Torres has more experience in total bouts and rounds, indicating durability. Both fighters have similar recent form with only one loss each.
- No direct previous matchups found between Cardoso and Torres, so analysis relies on individual career data.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
- The fight is on a high-profile card in Washington D.C., with Cardoso likely having slight home advantage and crowd support. Both fighters motivated to advance rankings.
- Cardoso aims to leverage power and youth to ascend, while Torres looks to leverage experience and southpaw stance to neutralize Cardoso’s knockout ability.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -105, away: -120 | Jonhatan Cardoso | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | home: -110, away: -110 | Jonhatan Cardoso by at least 2 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over: -115, under: -105 | Over 7.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jonhatan Cardoso 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Jonhatan Cardoso at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jonhatan Cardoso to win by knockout
Predicted Score: Jonhatan Cardoso wins by KO in round 8