Joel Iriarte vs. Yusuph Metu Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joel Iriarte vs Yusuph Metu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

Joel Iriarte, an undefeated American prospect known for his power and sharp skill set, faces Tanzanian fighter Yusuph Metu at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, on June 28, 2025. This bout is part of the undercard for the Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. event. Iriarte is hunting for his eighth knockout victory, whereas Metu is considered the underdog in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joel Iriarte has maintained an undefeated record with multiple knockouts, showing dominance in his last fights. Yusuph Metu, while skilled, has not matched Iriarte's knockout power and recent winning streak.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Joel Iriarte and Yusuph Metu, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports or concerns have been noted for either fighter going into this match.
  • The fight takes place in Anaheim, California, which may favor Joel Iriarte due to his American prospect status and possible local support. The event’s high-profile undercard status elevates the fighters' motivation levels.
  • Joel Iriarte is motivated to maintain his undefeated streak and extend his knockout record, while Yusuph Metu aims to upset a highly regarded prospect and advance his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joel Iriarte: -8000, Yusuph Metu: 1600 Joel Iriarte to win ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Joel Iriarte -4.5 rounds: -120, Yusuph Metu +4.5 rounds: +100 Joel Iriarte to win by more than 4.5 rounds ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 5.5 rounds: +150, Under 5.5 rounds: -180 Under 5.5 rounds – likely a shorter fight with Iriarte finishing early ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joel Iriarte -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Joel Iriarte at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joel Iriarte is highly favored to win by knockout given his undefeated record, power, and favorable odds. Yusuph Metu faces an uphill battle, but could capitalize on any mistakes. Overall, Iriarte’s recent form and power make him the strong favorite.

Predicted Score: Joel Iriarte wins by KO in round 4


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