Match Analysis: Joe Middleton vs Naglis Kanisauskas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Indigo at The O2, London, Greater London, England
Game Overview
Joe Middleton and Naglis Kanisauskas face off in a middleweight bout at Indigo at The O2. Middleton enters with strong submission wins recently, while Kanisauskas is favored on the moneyline reflecting perceived advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Joe Middleton has won his last three fights by submission with impressive grappling dominance, while Kanisauskas has a solid record but less recent data on finishes.
- No recorded previous head-to-head encounters between Middleton and Kanisauskas.
- No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Fight scheduled at a major venue with strong crowd interest; fight environment neutral but potentially favoring Middleton as a rising grappler.
- Middleton shows high motivation after consecutive submission wins, aiming to continue momentum; Kanisauskas motivated as slight betting favorite to prove superiority.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Joe Middleton +135, Naglis Kanisauskas -175 | Naglis Kanisauskas | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Kanisauskas -1.5 rounds | Kanisauskas -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Naglis Kanisauskas -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Naglis Kanisauskas at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Naglis Kanisauskas to win by decision
Predicted Score: Kanisauskas wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds