Match Analysis: Boris Mbarga Atangana vs Jhony Gregory – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: PFL Europe 3 (exact venue not specified)
Game Overview
This middleweight MMA match features undefeated Boris Mbarga Atangana (6-0) from Belgium facing Jhony Gregory (9-4) from Brazil in the PFL Europe 3 event. Atangana has a perfect professional record and appears to have momentum with a recent first-round TKO victory. Gregory has more professional experience but has a few losses, often by KO, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atangana is currently undefeated with a 6-0 record and shows finishing ability (TKO wins). Gregory has a 9-4 record with a mix of wins by KO, submission, and decision, but 3 of his 4 losses came by KO, suggesting potential durability issues.
- No direct previous head-to-head encounters found between Boris Mbarga Atangana and Jhony Gregory, making this a fresh matchup with little direct data.
- No publicly available injury reports or issues for either fighter prior to this bout.
- Atangana is fighting out of Belgium, likely having the home-crowd advantage, while Gregory is flying in from Brazil; travel and acclimatization could factor.
- Atangana aims to maintain his undefeated streak and solidify his status in PFL Europe. Gregory could be motivated to bounce back from previous losses and prove himself in a major league setting.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boris Mbarga Atangana: -650, Jhony Gregory: 440 | Boris Mbarga Atangana to win | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | Boris Mbarga Atangana: -1.5 rounds at -150, Jhony Gregory: +1.5 rounds at +130 | Atangana to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds (expecting an early finish) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boris Mbarga Atangana -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Boris Mbarga Atangana at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boris Mbarga Atangana is favored to win given his undefeated record, finishing power, and home advantage. Jhony Gregory's experience is notable but the risk of KO losses and travel fatigue lower his chances. Expect Atangana to control the bout and possibly secure a finish.
Predicted Score: Boris Mbarga Atangana wins by TKO/KO in Round 2