Match Analysis: Jesus Pinedo vs Gabriel Alves Braga – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

This is a featherweight semifinal match in the PFL 2025 World Tournament between Jesus Pinedo, the 2023 PFL Featherweight Champion, and Gabriel Alves Braga. Both fighters have a history of competing against each other, currently standing at 1-1.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jesus Pinedo is 25-6-1 in his career, with a recent win over Borch by first-round KO. Gabriel Alves Braga is 17-2, having beaten his last opponent by first-round submission.
• The two fighters are 1-1 against each other, with Pinedo winning by third-round TKO in their most recent matchup for the title.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The match is part of the PFL tournament format, which could lead to increased motivation for both fighters to progress.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gabriel Alves Braga: 175, Jesus Pinedo: -215	Jesus Pinedo	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jesus Pinedo -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jesus Pinedo at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jesus Pinedo is favored to win based on his recent performances and the fact that he holds a title win over Braga.

Predicted Score: Jesus Pinedo to win by decision or TKO

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Jesus Pinedo vs. Gabriel Alves Braga Prediction	Jesus Pinedo Win	-215	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Mukhamed Berkhamov vs. Kendly St. Louis Prediction	Mukhamed Berkhamov Win	-260	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Jason Jackson vs. Thad Jean Prediction	Over 2.5 rounds	2.5	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +108

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.59

Match Analysis: Jesus Pinedo vs Adam Borics – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-04
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Orlando, FL

Game Overview

Adam Borics faces Jesus Pinedo in the PFL World Tournament. Borics, known for his resilience, seeks a strong start in the revamped tournament format, while Pinedo aims to overcome past weight issues.

Key Factors to Consider

• Adam Borics has a solid record with less recent activity due to injury, while Jesus Pinedo has shown inconsistency with weight issues impacting his fights.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between Adam Borics and Jesus Pinedo.
• Adam Borics was previously out with an ankle fracture, but has since recovered. Jesus Pinedo's recent issues have been with making weight rather than injuries.
• The PFL's new tournament format and prize structure could affect fighter strategies, though Borics is focused on a straightforward 'win or go home' approach.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Borics seeking redemption after injury and Pinedo looking to prove himself after past setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adam Borics: 150, Jesus Pinedo: -192	Adam Borics	★★☆☆☆ 45%

Predicted Outcome

Adam Borics

Predicted Score: Borics via Decision