Match Analysis: Lourdes Juarez vs Jessica Nery – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-19
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Convention Center, South Padre Island, Texas

Game Overview

Lourdes Juarez and Jessica Nery Plata meet in a 10-round Jr Flyweight title bout. Juarez has a slightly larger professional record and more experience, but Nery is younger, taller, and favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

• Juarez holds a 38-4 record with a 13% knockout rate, showing slightly more power and experience. Nery carries a 30-2 record with a 10% knockout rate and a recent strong form but fewer rounds fought.
• No direct recorded fights between Juarez and Nery, making the matchup a test of styles without historical outcome data.
• No current injury reports or fitness concerns for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place in a neutral venue in Texas, with no notable external environmental factors impacting either fighter.
• Both fighters compete for a WBC World Junior Flyweight title, indicating high motivation and stakes for this contest.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jessica Nery: -250, Lourdes Juarez: 200	Jessica Nery	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Jessica Nery -1.5: -115, Lourdes Juarez +1.5: -105	Jessica Nery -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 6.5 rounds: -110, Under 6.5 rounds: -110	Under 6.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jessica Nery -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jessica Nery at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jessica Nery Plata to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Jessica Nery wins by late stoppage or decision around round 7