Match Analysis: Jesse Rodriguez vs Phumelele Cafu – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Saturday, July 20, 2025
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Ford Center at The Star, Frisco

Game Overview

Jesse "Bam" Rodriguez will face Phumelela Cafu in a junior bantamweight unification bout. Rodriguez is highly favored due to his impressive undefeated record and recent title defenses. Cafu, however, has shown his ability by winning the WBO title against Kosei Tanaka.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rodriguez is ranked No. 7 on ESPN's pound-for-pound list, with notable wins over Sunny Edwards and Juan Francisco Estrada. Cafu recently upset Kosei Tanaka to win the WBO title.
• There is no prior H2H matchup between the two fighters.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
• Rodriguez is fighting closer to home, but both fighters are well-prepared for the bout.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Rodriguez seeking to unify titles and Cafu aiming to prove himself against a top-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-4000 for Rodriguez, +1100 for Cafu	Rodriguez	★★★★★ 92%
Over/under	Over 7.5 -125, Under 7.5 -105	Over 7.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jesse Rodriguez -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 7.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodriguez to win by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Rodriguez by decision