Jermell Charlo vs. Thomas LaManna Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jermell Charlo vs Thomas LaManna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Jermall Charlo (33-0, 22 KOs) returns to the ring after nearly two years away, moving up to super middleweight to face Thomas LaManna (39-5-1, 18 KOs), who is riding a nine-fight win streak. The fight is for the WBA Continental Americas super middleweight belt and is a crucial test for Charlo’s form and future prospects at a higher weight[1][2][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jermall Charlo is undefeated, a former two-division world champion with high knockout power, but has been inactive except for a dominant victory in late 2023. LaManna is experienced, with a strong recent win streak and confidence, but his record includes losses against elite competition[1][2][3].
  • No previous bouts between these two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Charlo’s ring rust and move up in weight are concerns, while LaManna’s recent activity and momentum could be factors[1][2][3].
  • Charlo is motivated to prove he still belongs among elite, while LaManna sees this as a career-defining opportunity to upset a big name[1][2][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jermell Charlo: -1500, Thomas LaManna: 800 Jermell Charlo to win (assuming name typo: Jermall Charlo is the actual fighter) Not available
Over/under over: 8.5, under: 8.5 Under 8.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jermell Charlo -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charlo is heavily favored due to his skill, power, and undefeated record, despite inactivity and the weight jump. LaManna is a live underdog thanks to his recent form and experience, but the odds and data strongly favor Charlo. Expect Charlo to impose his will, likely by late stoppage or decision.

Predicted Score: Jermell Charlo wins via TKO in rounds 6–8


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