Match Analysis: Mike Perry vs Jeremy Stephens – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

Mike Perry and Jeremy Stephens face off in a heated BKFC 82 bare-knuckle boxing main event with Perry favored due to his aggression and durability, while Stephens brings veteran experience and knockout power. Both fighters have a knockout threat and a strong rivalry leading to an emotionally charged bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mike Perry is known for his aggressive striking and forward pressure but has a tendency to absorb hits. Jeremy Stephens has solid counter-punching skills and heavy hands, with both undefeated in bare-knuckle boxing so far.
• No official MMA or BKFC matchups prior to this bout, but pre-fight tensions have been high with a near altercation at BKFC 80, indicating strong motivation from both sides.
• No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the fight, indicating both are physically prepared at peak condition.
• Fight location in Newark, New Jersey, may slightly favor Mike Perry given his strong fan support and familiarity with the venue environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Perry defending his 'King of Violence' title and Stephens looking to assert veteran dominance and respond to pre-fight trash talk.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mike Perry: -400, Jeremy Stephens: +250	Mike Perry	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Mike Perry -1.5 rounds: -150, Jeremy Stephens +1.5 rounds: +130	Mike Perry -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: EVEN	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mike Perry -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mike Perry at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Perry to win via knockout

Predicted Score: Mike Perry wins by KO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 3, 2025
• Time: 2:15 AM UTC
• Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Jeremy Stephens returns to the UFC to face Mason Jones in a lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo. Stephens has a competitive track record in MMA and additional experience in boxing and bare-knuckle fighting, while Jones is favored due to his recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jeremy Stephens has had varied success across MMA, boxing, and bare-knuckle fighting. Mason Jones is entering with strong momentum.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No specific injury reports for either fighter are mentioned.
• The event takes place in Des Moines, which might favor Stephens due to potential crowd support.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Stephens seeking a strong comeback in the UFC and Jones looking to maintain his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Stephens: +425, Jones: -575	Mason Jones	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Stephens: 3.5 +180, Jones: -3.5 -250	Mason Jones to win by decision or finish	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mason Jones -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Jones is predicted to win due to his strong current form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Mason Jones by TKO/KO in the second round