Match Analysis: Jawany Scott vs Michelangelo Lupoli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Indigo at The O2, London
Game Overview
Flyweight/Bantamweight bout between Jawany Scott (UK, home fighter) and Michelangelo Lupoli (Italy, guest fighter) at Cage Warriors 196 in London. Scott is favored at -440 moneyline odds, reflecting home advantage and shorter winning streak for Lupoli.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michelangelo Lupoli is on a short winning streak but fighting as a guest competitor. Jawany Scott competes at home with local advantage. Historical data shows 68% win rate for domestic fighters in this promotion over the past 2 years, suggesting systematic home advantage.
- No previous matchup history between Scott and Lupoli. First-time meeting creates uncertainty but eliminates predictable patterns.
- No injury information available in provided data.
- Home venue advantage significantly favors Scott. Lupoli faces potential judging bias as visiting fighter. Historical promotion data suggests 68% domestic fighter win rate, indicating possible selection of favorable matchups or consistent home advantage effects.
- Scott fighting at home in London with moral advantage and crowd support. Lupoli has short winning streak providing confidence but faces psychological pressure of away fighting and potential bias concerns.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Scott -440 | Lupoli +270 | Jawany Scott | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jawany Scott -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Jawany Scott at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jawany Scott wins via Decision
Predicted Score: Scott wins by Decision (likely unanimous or split decision given competitive bantamweight division)