Match Analysis: Justice Torres vs Javier Reyes Rugeles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 12:40 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 7, 145 lbs Division

Game Overview

Justice Torres (12-3, 4-1 last 5) faces Javier Reyes Rugeles (21-5, 3-2 last 5) in a lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Torres is younger with a slight reach advantage, coming off better recent form. Reyes has greater career experience but recent performance has been inconsistent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Justice Torres shows stronger recent form with a 4-1 record in his last five fights versus Javier Reyes's 3-2. Torres has a balanced finishing ability but more decision wins recently, while Reyes features more KO and submission finishes historically.
• No direct previous head-to-head matchup recorded between Justice Torres and Javier Reyes Rugeles.
• No recent or reported injuries affecting either fighter going into this matchup.
• Multiple opponent changes for Torres might have disrupted preparation but does not seem to have reduced his readiness. Both fighters motivated by potential UFC contract opportunities.
• Both athletes are highly motivated to impress on Contender Series for UFC contracts. Torres might have a slight edge due to more consistent recent success and youth advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Javier Reyes Rugeles: -180, Justice Torres: +155	Javier Reyes Rugeles	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5: -110, Justice Torres +1.5: -110	Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -155, Under 2.5 rounds: +135	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Javier Reyes Rugeles -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Javier Reyes Rugeles; Spread: Reyes to win by decision; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Javier Reyes Rugeles wins by decision in under 3 rounds

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 23, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Justice Torres vs. Javier Reyes Rugeles Prediction	Under 2.5	135	41%
Sofia Montenegro vs. Jeisla Chaves Prediction	Under 2.5	125	35%
Brahyan Zurcher vs. Murtazali Magomedov Prediction	Murtazali Magomedov	120	17%

Combined Odds: +1063 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.65

Match Analysis: Javier Reyes Rugeles vs Lance Lawrence – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 13, 2025
• Time: 3:40 AM UTC
• Location: Broadbent Arena, Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Game Overview

LFA 210 features a highly anticipated Featherweight bout between Javier Reyes Rugeles and Lance Lawrence. Reyes, a top Colombian prospect, is known for his dynamic fighting style, while Lawrence, hailing from Louisville, seeks to capitalize on home advantage and boost his UFC aspirations.

Key Factors to Consider

• Javier Reyes boasts a strong record of 20-5, with significant experience in regional titles. Lance Lawrence holds a 9-4 record, representing Louisville with high motivation.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The event's venue could favor Lawrence due to home support.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Reyes seeking to continue his winning streak and Lawrence aiming for a UFC spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-205 for Javier Reyes Rugeles, 165 for Lance Lawrence	Javier Reyes Rugeles	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lance Lawrence -40%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on experience and recent form, Javier Reyes Rugeles is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Javier Reyes Rugeles

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Christian Natividad vs. Jose Sandoval Prediction	Christian Natividad Win	-455	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Alexander Soldatkin vs. Prince Aounallah Prediction	Alexander Soldatkin Win	-260	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Javier Reyes Rugeles vs. Lance Lawrence Prediction	Javier Reyes Rugeles Win	-205	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +151

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $50.26

Match Analysis: Chris Mecate vs Javier Reyes Rugeles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-09
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kaiser Permanente Arena, Santa Cruz, California

Game Overview

The main event of LFA 208 features a Lightweight bout between Chris Mecate and Javier Reyes Rugeles over 3 rounds with a 155 lbs weight limit. Mecate enters the fight riding a 5-fight win streak, holding a professional record of 10-2, and is viewed as a rising contender aiming for a UFC call-up. Reyes Rugeles, with a solid but less highlighted profile, will challenge Mecate in this crucial match for both fighters' career trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chris Mecate has demonstrated strong recent form with 5 consecutive wins, including a 2-1 record inside LFA. His aggressive style and finishing ability have been notable, positioning him as a top lightweight prospect. Javier Reyes Rugeles has less documented recent performance but remains a skilled opponent within the division.
• No documented previous encounters between Chris Mecate and Javier Reyes Rugeles have been found, making this their first official meeting.
• No current injury reports or fitness issues for either competitor prior to the fight have been noted.
• The bout is held at a neutral location in California with no home advantage for either fighter. Mecate’s motivation is high given his pursuit of a UFC contract, which could influence performance positively. Broadcast on UFC Fight Pass worldwide increases exposure stakes.
• Chris Mecate is highly motivated to secure a decisive and dominant victory to attract UFC attention, openly expressing ambitions of calling out UFC CEO Dana White. Reyes Rugeles will be motivated to derail Mecate’s momentum and advance his own standing in the lightweight ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chris Mecate: -250, Javier Reyes Rugeles: 170	Chris Mecate win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Chris Mecate -1.5 rounds: -110, Javier Reyes Rugeles +1.5 rounds: -110	Chris Mecate to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Under 2.5 rounds (shorter fight expected)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chris Mecate -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Mecate at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Mecate’s momentum, track record inside LFA, and high motivation for a UFC breakthrough, he is favored to win the fight by a decisive decision or finish.

Predicted Score: Chris Mecate wins via 3-round unanimous decision or late stoppage