Match Analysis: Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS
Game Overview
Lightweight matchup between Jamie Mullarkey (17-8) and Rolando Bedoya (14-4) at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are well-matched with close recent form and minimal injury concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mullarkey has shown consistent striking and conditioning but suffered a recent tough loss at UFC 301, whereas Bedoya has been on a positive streak with strong grappling and finishing ability.
- No prior head-to-head fights, making this an even tactical matchup where styles and in-fight adjustments will be crucial.
- No significant injury reports for either fighter ahead of bout, suggesting both are preparing at full strength.
- Fight taking place in Australia may slightly favor Mullarkey due to local crowd support and reduced travel fatigue.
- Mullarkey aims to rebound after a UFC loss, potentially increasing aggression and risk-taking; Bedoya seeks to extend winning run, likely leading to strategic but aggressive approach.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jamie Mullarkey: -112, Rolando Bedoya: -108 | Jamie Mullarkey | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Jamie Mullarkey -3.5: -200, Rolando Bedoya +3.5: 145 | Jamie Mullarkey -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -195, Under 2.5 rounds: 150 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jamie Mullarkey 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 55% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Jamie Mullarkey to win; Spread: Mullarkey -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Jamie Mullarkey wins via decision or late stoppage before round 3