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Match Analysis: Jamie Abbott vs Matthew Friel – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland
Game Overview
The MMA flyweight bout between Jamie Abbott-Bissett and Matthew Friel at Cage Warriors 194 pits a 2-0 unbeaten Jamie Abbott against 1-2 Matthew Friel in a 3-round fight scheduled for September 27, 2025, in Dublin. Abbott is favored due to his undefeated record and recent performances, while Friel looks to upset at his home event.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jamie Abbott-Bissett holds a 2-0 professional MMA record with solid performances in Cage Warriors, showing control and effective striking. Matthew Friel is 1-2 but has experience; however, his recent losses suggest an unfavorable momentum.
- This will be the first recorded professional MMA meeting between Jamie Abbott-Bissett and Matthew Friel, with no previous head-to-head bouts.
- No publicly reported injuries have been disclosed for either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are expected to compete at full strength.
- The fight takes place in Dublin, Ireland, which could give Jamie Abbott-Bissett, an Irish fighter, a home crowd advantage. No other significant external factors like weather or travel issues are expected to impact the fight.
- Jamie Abbott-Bissett is motivated to maintain his unbeaten streak and continue his rise in the flyweight division of Cage Warriors. Matthew Friel, with a losing record, is highly motivated to prove himself and upset the favorite on the big stage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jamie Abbott-Bissett: -450, Matthew Friel: +335, Draw: +2500 | Jamie Abbott-Bissett | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Jamie Abbott-Bissett -1.5 rounds: -160, Matthew Friel +1.5 rounds: +130 | Jamie Abbott-Bissett to win by at least 2 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds, suggesting a full 3-round fight | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jamie Abbott-Bissett is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to better recent form, undefeated record, and home advantage. Matthew Friel may push aggressively early but is less likely to sustain control throughout all three rounds.
Predicted Score: Jamie Abbott-Bissett wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds