Match Analysis: James Power vs Omar Tugarev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Cage Warriors 191, Manchester, Greater UK
Game Overview
The interim lightweight title bout at Cage Warriors 191 features James Power, an experienced English fighter with an 8-1 professional record, facing the undefeated Finnish prospect Omar Tugarev, who holds a 7-0 record. Power's fights often show durability and finishing ability, with 7 finishes in his 8 wins, while Tugarev boasts a balanced finishing style with 3 KOs and 3 submissions, indicating a versatile threat. Both fighters are in peak condition and highly motivated, making this a compelling matchup for the lightweight interim championship.
Key Factors to Consider
- James Power has demonstrated consistent performance with a strong record including seven finishes, showing power and endurance. Omar Tugarev is undefeated professionally and has shown a balanced arsenal with both striking and grappling finishes, which could test Power's defenses.
- No previous matches have taken place between James Power and Omar Tugarev, marking this as their first encounter. Historical data does not provide direct matchup tendencies, increasing the unpredictability of the bout.
- No current injury reports for either fighter, indicating both athletes are entering the fight healthy and fully prepared.
- The fight being held in Manchester could provide a slight home advantage atmosphere for James Power, an English fighter, possibly boosting his confidence. Omar Tugarev stepping in recently for this bout shows readiness and adaptability.
- Both fighters have strong motivation, with James Power aiming to secure an interim title and Omar Tugarev looking to maintain his unbeaten streak and claim championship status.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | James Power: -145, Omar Tugarev: 125 | James Power | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | James Power -1.5: -110, Omar Tugarev +1.5: -110 | James Power -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -140, Under 2.5 rounds: 110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | James Power -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
James Power is favored to win due to slight odds advantage, experience, and home proximity, but Omar Tugarev's undefeated status and versatile finishing ability create a highly competitive scenario. Expect a close fight potentially decided by striking or grappling exchanges.
Predicted Score: James Power win by decision or late finish (Round 3 or 4)