Match Analysis: James Madison Dukes vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field, Harrisonburg, Virginia
Game Overview
The James Madison Dukes (4-1) host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (2-3) in a matchup featuring two strong rushing offenses and solid defenses, with JMU heavily favored by 17.5 points and a total set at 45.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- JMU ranks 12th in run defense and 10th in rushing yards per game, allowing only 79.8 rushing yards per game. Louisiana boasts the 23rd-ranked rushing offense but has a 2-3 record with defensive vulnerabilities shown by allowing 51 points most recently.
- Recent direct matchups are limited; however, JMU is favored significantly due to superior overall defense and recent form.
- JMU's running back health is in question, possibly limiting their rushing efficiency, while Louisiana's defensive issues remain unmitigated.
- Weather is expected to be mild (60Β°F) with minimal rain and low wind, likely neutral in impact. JMU benefits from home-field advantage at Bridgeforth Stadium.
- JMU is motivated to maintain top form and protect a 4-1 record with a push toward postseason, while Louisiana, at 2-3, seeks to upset a ranked opponent to recover momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | James Madison -950, Louisiana +625 | James Madison | β β β β β 87% |
Spread | James Madison -17.5 (-112), Louisiana +17.5 (-108) | James Madison -17.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 45.5 -112, Under 45.5 -108 | Under 45.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | James Madison Dukes -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 45.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
James Madison Dukes to cover the -17.5 spread, moneyline in favor of James Madison, and total points under 45.5
Predicted Score: James Madison Dukes 27 – Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 14