Match Analysis: Joshua James Pagan vs James Bernardin – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-06
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Turning Stone Resort & Casino, Verona, New York
Game Overview
Joshua James Pagan (12-0, 4 KOs) faces James Bernadin (13-2-1) in a regional lightweight bout, streamed on DAZN. Pagan is an undefeated rising prospect with recent momentum, while Bernadin is a tough, experienced opponent but a heavy underdog[1][3][4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Pagan is undefeated and has shown steady improvement and explosive potential. Bernadin brings experience but is outmatched on paper.
- No prior head-to-head matchups between these fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Event is streamed live on DAZN, with high visibility and pressure for Pagan to continue his rise[1][3].
- Pagan is highly motivated to remain undefeated and position himself for bigger fights, including a desired showdown with Floyd Schofield[1][4].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pagan: -650, Bernadin: +425 | Joshua James Pagan to win | Very High |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -600, Under 8.5: +400 | Over 8.5 rounds (fight goes distance) | High |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joshua James Pagan 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Joshua James Pagan at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Joshua James Pagan is the clear favorite, with strong confidence in his ability to outclass James Bernadin. Expect a decisive Pagan victory, likely by decision or late stoppage, unless Bernadin can cause an upset with experience.
Predicted Score: Joshua James Pagan wins by unanimous decision (98-92, 97-93, 99-91 style scorecards) or late stoppage after 9 rounds.